Boxing Preview: Deontay Wilder vs. Dominic Breazeale

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D.S. Williamson

May 17th, 2019

Heavyweight champion Deontay Wilder takes on Dominic Breazeale in New York on Saturday. Check out a preview of the boxing match and free picks below!

On the line: WBC heavyweight title Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York Where to watch: Showtime

Deontay Wilder (40-0-1) vs. Dominic Breazeale (20-1-0)

To Win

Deontay Wilder -925 vs. Dominic Breazeale +550

Undefeated champion Deontay Wilder is a massive favorite in this fight for a reason. Breazeale suffered his only loss to Anthony Joshua, the other undefeated heavyweight champion. Although Breazeale is a talented fighter, he’s in over his head here.

Deontay’s got significant advantages. He’s longer with an 83” reach, faster, and he has more KO power. If Breazeale stands in front of Wilder the way he did against Joshua, Wilder will use his jab to set up thunderous power punches. Wilder should easily win the fight.

Pick: Deontay Wilder -925

Fight to Go the Distance

Yes +260; No -400

If Wilder dominates, which he should, the fight most definitely won’t go the distance. The only fighter to really frustrate Wilder was Tyson Fury. Fury’s got a unique style, one that Breazeale cannot duplicate. Breazeale could keep his distance in order to last. Although that could work for a few rounds, Wilder should eventually get to Breazeale. This fight won’t go the distance.

Pick: No

Over/Under Rounds

Over 9.5 +210; Under 9.5 -260

Dominic Breazeale doesn’t have much of a jab. Even if he wanted to use his jab, he’d have trouble against the much longer Wilder. Breazeale’s best hope is to get inside of Deontay, but that won’t work either because Wilder’s great at fighting inside. It’s hard to see this fight lasting longer than six rounds, much less 9.5.

Pick: Under 9.5

Round Group Betting

The chalk odds for this prop are in the middle rounds. Wilder to win Rounds 4-6 and Rounds 7-9 are both at +300. Wilder to win Rounds 10-12 is at +550, while Wilder to win Rounds 1-3 is at +450.

Breazeale Round Group Betting props offer much higher odds. The odds on Breazeale are no less than +2500 for any group. Unless you want to take a shot on Breazeale sneaking in a lucky knockout punch, it’s best to accept the chalk odds. Breazeale’s not close to Wilder’s level. Backing Rounds 1-3 or Rounds 4-6 could pay dividends.

Pick: Rounds 1-3 or Rounds 4-6

Round Betting

This is a great prop because the odds are fantastic. Deontay Wilder should knock out Breazeale within the first few rounds. Round 1 offers +1600 odds, while Round 2 offers +1400 odds. Round 3 offers +1300 odds and seems like the perfect round for Deontay to get the KO.

Pick: Round 3

WBO Super Middleweight Title in England, ESPN+

Billy Joe Saunders (27-0-0) vs. Shefat Isufi (27-3-2)

Undefeated Billy Joe Saunders (-20000) battles Shefat Isufi (+1525) in the other big match on Saturday. Billy Joe is fun to watch because he’s a classic boxer that does everything right. He’s not fancy. He drives his jab forward to put himself into position to throw power punches. Saunders is also a great finisher.

Shefat Isufi hasn’t fought anyone close to Saunders' level. Isufi won’t last long in this battle. Saunders should figure him out within the first couple of rounds. After that, Saunders will finish Isufi in the middle rounds. If Isufi tries to push forward, Saunders will knock him out much earlier in the fight.

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