college basketball

Massive Saturday NCAAB Slate Awaits with Duke-FSU and Kentucky-Tennessee

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March 16th, 2019

The ACC and BIG12 Finals go down today while the SEC Tournament continues!

Just like the entirety of the season, the conference tournament have been an absolute gone show. Head to our New Jersey sportsbook to view all the game lines for today, and if you're in the area you can bet online!

SEC Semi- Final - 3pm ET #4 Kentucky Wildcats -1.5 over #8 Tennessee Volunteers 

This was always destined to happen. Kentucky and Tennessee have been circling each other all season, and now a berth in the SEC Final against either Florida or Auburn is on the line. Both teams whopped each other once during the latter stages of the year, and have looked sharp in the quarter finals already. The fact that there's a narrow line on this indicates that the oddsmakers have regained respect for the Volunteers. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a little bit of juice behind Kentucky because they're such a public entity on the betting board.

The Wildcats seemed to lull through the final stages of the regular season, going 6-1 SU and 2-5 ATS en route to the SEC Tournament. There were some concerns over how this would impact their play in the tournament, but they erased any doubt by stomping on Alabama in the first stage. Tennessee did the same against Mississippi State, and have corrected course since Kentucky crushed them in their first encounter. Overall, the Vols are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Kentucky.

But I just like Kentucky comparatively. They look refined, and have an exceptional record when playing in neutral territory, where they're 32-14-4 ATS overall. This is truly a coin flip game, as the spread would indicate, but I haven't liked Tennessee in big games since the turn of the New Year and Kentucky is a more secure bet. I'll lay the 1.5 points happily.

BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP - 6pm ET Iowa State Cyclones over #17 Kansas Jayhawks -1.0

You all know I'm not the biggest fan of Kansas this year from a betting standpoint, and while there's virtually no line on this game, the fact that Iowa State has gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Bill Self tells me all I need to know. The Cyclones just know how to play this Kansas team. The team's split their season series with each home side taking the win.

Kansas received a bit of a pass in the semi-finals to get to the Big 12 Championship game by toying with West Virginia, who upset Texas Tech. But they looked off against Texas, and Iowa State is rolling after toppling Kansas State. Any fears about the lack of momentum that the Cyclones had before whirling in to the Big 12 Tournament have vanished. They'll be looking to stamp a momentum driven ticket to the Big Dance by dropping Kansas. There's a touch more value on the moneyline, where Iowa State is -105 and that's where I'm leaning.

ACC Championship - 8:30pm ET #12 Florida State Seminoles over #5 Duke Blue Devils -8.0

UNC and Syracuse found that out the hard way that Duke is very hard to beat when they have Zion Williamson, but there's a lot of action streaming in on the Seminoles. One of the main reasons is that FSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 battles with Duke. They've only matched up once this year, and the Seminoles pushed Duke to a two-point loss as 7-point dogs. It's one thing for Duke to outlast UNC in a thriller, but the more impressive victory was Florida State trouncing Virginia by ten points. I'm all over FSU and just don't trust Duke against such a big line. I'm also skeptical about Zion coming off of injury to play in three straight games over a tight time frame as well. He's a specimen, but everyone has their limits, and this FSU team is all about pushing the pace.

Return to BetAmerica for all the NCAA tournament coverage!

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