NCAAB Monday Preview - K-State Looks for Upset over Rock Chalk

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D.S. Williamson

February 25th, 2019

Kansas State heads to Lawrence to take on rival Kansas in Monday’s top college basketball matchup. We've got NCAAB Monday free picks lined up to get your week rolling!

Check out analysis and a pick for that matchup as well as picks for 5 other great hoops games on Feb. 25.

[Monday, Feb 25]

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at #18 Florida State Seminoles -11.5 (7:00pm ET)

Although North Carolina beat Florida State 77-59 in FSU’s last meeting, the Seminoles have played well enough recently to go 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10. They dominated Notre Dame 84-69 in the last matchup.

The Irish are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games, though. But, that shouldn’t be the trend that causes you to back ND. The Irish going 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings is. Not only that, but the Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on Monday and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

NCAAB Monday Free Pick: Notre Dame +11.5

South Carolina State Bulldogs at North Carolina Central Eagles -7.5 (7:00pm ET)

North Carolina Central is 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5. They beat South Carolina State 102-79 the last time they faced them. Although that game happened back in February 2018, a similar outcome could happen on Monday night because the Bulldogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 and give up an average of 75.9 points per from 48.7% shooting from the field.

NCAAB Monday Free Pick: North Carolina Central -7.5

Savannah State Tigers at North Carolina A&T Aggies -7 (7:30pm ET)

Savannah State is hot against the spread. The Tigers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7. They’re also 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on a Monday.

North Carolina A&T is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Aggies are the overall better team and should win straight up, but they won’t cover.

NCAAB Monday Free Pick: Savannah State +7

Oklahoma Sooners at Iowa State Cyclones -8 (8:00pm ET)

The Sooners have won two in a row straight up, but they’ve been awful against the spread. Oklahoma is 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. Iowa State’s been even worse against the spread, though.

The Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. It’s amazing that Iowa State’s still ranked because they’ve gone 1-3 SU in their last 4. Based on more trends, Oklahoma takes this against the spread. The Sooners are 8-1-3 ATS in their last 12 games on the road, 6-1-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning home record and 6-0-3 ATS in their last 9 on the road versus a team with a winning percentage greater than .600.

NCAAB Monday Free Pick: Oklahoma +8

#16 Kansas State Wildcats at #15 Kansas Jayhawks -4.5 (9:00pm ET)

Although the Jayhawks are ranked higher than K-State, this sets up as a possible Wildcats moneyline victory. Kansas State is +170 on BetAmerica to beat Rock Chalk straight up.

K-State beat Kansas 74-67 in the last matchup. Since that time, the Jayhawks have gone 3-1 SU and ATS. However, in their last game against a similar defensive team, Texas Tech, Kansas imploded. The Red Raiders dominated them 91-62.

The Wildcats have been much better recently, only losing to Iowa State while going 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10. K-State’s also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while Kansas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Backing the Wildcats on the moneyline.

NCAAB Monday Free Pick: Kansas State +170