Tuesday's NCAAM Free Picks - Tennessee Looking To Bounce Back

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Lindsay Van Gyn

February 19th, 2019

The Tennessee Volunteers have a lot to prove as heavy favorites tonight. Facing a scrappy Vanderbilt team that's getting a massive point cushion, the Vols are a troubling side to back in NCAAM free picks. Our own Lindsay Van Gyn weighs in on the best picks in the biggest matchups tonight.

#5 Tennessee Volunteers -18.5 over Vanderbilt Commodores (7pm ET)

Vanderbilt is going for a program record and what better place to solidify this than on the road with the 15-0 at home #5 Tennessee Volunteers. If Vanderbilt loses, it will be their 14th straight. Not a cute look.

For Tennessee, who are on their own losing streak (2), dropped to #5 over the weekend after being manhandled by Kentucky on Saturday. However, The Vols are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss.

One thing to remember is that these teams met less than a month ago and fought it out in OT with the Volunteers taking it. This could shape up to be an exciting game so I wouldn’t sleep on it, especially if they’re resting some players in advance of the game against #13 LSU.

If you’re leaning into the immortalized words of Lloyd Christmas “So, you’re saying there’s a chance?” you need to watch how Dumb and Dumber ends again.

Tennessee with take this with ease. Don't be scared of this humungous number when making your own NCAAM free picks. 

#24 Maryland Terrapins +2.5 over  #21 Iowa Hawkeyes (8pm ET)

Without Hawkeye freshman Joe Wieskamp’s fatal 3 point buzzer beater against Rutgers College on Saturday, the news would have been that Iowa lost to an unranked team. Heading into their matchup with #24 ranked Maryland should put them on edge if not for the Terps 11 years of loses to ranked teams on the road. 

The Terps have offensive issues especially when it comes to their top scorer, Anthony Cowan who has the team’s highest average for turnovers. However, this team has the talent and they are fairly evenly matched against Iowa.

This will be a tight one and bet on the Under as it’s shown up 2-12 O/U in Maryland’s last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Expect this to be a hard fought game, but Maryland is due and I expect them to show up and prove everyone wrong. Maryland will beat Iowa and live to fight another week on the Top-25. We might not be able to say the same thing for Iowa.

#4 Kentucky Wildcats -11.5 over Missouri Tigers (9pm ET)

Let’s not get crazy with this one. Kentucky is climbing the table and looking to avenge their loss to the Missouri Tigers last year.

The Tigers lack consistency and a dig-deep attitude on their offense, and while defensively they aren’t a total loss they don’t come close to Wildcat calibre. Missouri will struggle against the Cats’ top-10 defense even if they get hot at the 3-point line, which is something they’re relatively good at.

Kentucky looked like the team they did at the beginning of the season and knocking Tennessee way off the #1 spot will feed their confidence going into this lopsided game. Don't be scared of the letdown potential when crafting your NCAAM free picks, because the odds suggest that Missouri isn't in their league.

Both these teams are 4-1 ATS for their last 5 Tuesday games. Additionally, stay with the Under on this one. Kentucky cashed out on the Under following a win and and an ATS win, while The Tigers have been 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and straight up losses. I’d stick with the most consistent and energized team on this one.

Kentucky will win at home against Missouri.

#17 Florida State Seminoles over Clemson Tigers -1.0 (9pm ET)

The Florida State Seminoles are on a 7-game win streak and are one of the most exciting teams going. They visit the Clemson Tigers in a conference matchup that should be an impressive game.

Florida State may not have the cleanest offense but, boy, are they tenacious when there’s a ball up for grabs and they make up for any offensive messiness with their dialed-in defense.

The Seminoles amassed almost half their points from the bench in their win over Georgia Tech on the weekend which makes them not only dynamic but hard to control.

Clemson is still on the bubble and the way they’ve been playing signals a tough fight against the Seminoles. They held Louisville to a season-low 35.2 shooting percentage and just 3 offensive boards on Saturday but couldn’t close the deal.

The Seminoles average 77.2 PPG and The Tigers 69.6 so look for this to he a high energy, high scoring game. Betting on the under is going to be your ticket with Clemson being being 1-4 O/U of their last 5 home games and Florida being under 14-3 of their last 17 games on the road.

Both these teams have ample skin in the game and right now, it all matters. The Seminoles are on a roll and they’ll win this ACC matchup.

Lindsay Van Gyn has a masters degree in sports communications focusing on the NFL. She is a passionate writer who focuses on the cultural intersection of sports, statistics and fans.