2018 SEC Championship Betting - Alabama Heavily Favored Against Georgia

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D.S. Williamson

November 28th, 2018

#1 Alabama travels to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia to take on one of their fiercest rivals, the #5 Georgia Bulldogs. Who can forget the pass that Bama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa completed in the 2018 College Football National Championship that handed Alabama yet another title and sent Georgia back to Athens with nothing but disappointment? This 2018 SEC Championship betting showdown is an anxiety-inducing rematch that we can't wait for.

Since 2007, when Nick Saban became the head coach, Alabama has won 7 SEC titles. Georgia won the title last season by trouncing Auburn, but Alabama won the bigger prize. This is the ultimate revenge opportunity for the Bulldogs, who were blindsided by Tua Tagovailoa in last year's national title game. This time, they'll see him coming. But will it matter?

2018 SEC CHAMPIONSHIP BETTING #1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs #4 Georgia Bulldogs Saturday, December 1st – Mercedes-Benz Stadium – 4:00pm ET Odds: Alabama -13 (63.5)

Crimson Tide Hopes to Continue SEC Dominance

Nobody’s surprised that the Alabama Crimson Tide enters the 2018 SEC Championship betting game undefeated. What's drawn everyone's attention is how they got here. In the past, Saban's soldiers have bullied their way through the year with strong rushing attacks and elite defenses. This season’s Bama team is all about pummeling opponents on the scoreboard. Alabama scored 52 or more in 4-of-8 conference victories. In 3 of the 4 wins, they were downright scary when hanging 58 onto Tennessee, 62 onto Ole Miss, and 65 onto Arkansas.

Alabama’s been so fantastic at moving the ball and punching it into the end zone that they beat rival Auburn in the Iron Bowl 52-21. When Bama’s offense hasn’t dominated, the defense has taken over with authority. The team posted two shutouts with the Tide’s 29-0 win over LSU and 24-0 win over Mississippi State.

Saban’s had awesome teams at Tuscaloosa before, but this might be the most dominant Crimson Tide squad he’s ever assembled.

Georgia’s Got Revenge on Their Minds

The Bulldogs head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium with revenge on their minds. In the 2018 National Championship, Georgia played well enough to force overtime. In overtime, the Bulldogs took a 3-point lead.

On Alabama’s OT possession, Georgia sacked then freshman Tua Tagovailoa on second down. The sack pushed Bama out of field goal range. While the Bulldogs seemed to be congratulating themselves, Tagovailoa calmly took the third down snap and fired a dart to Devonta Smith for a 41-yard touchdown that ended the game.

Georgia remains stung from Tua’s legendary pass. Tagovailoa, who could win the Heisman Trophy even though he’s rarely played in the 4th quarter in games, is public enemy number one for the Bulldogs who can only hope to contain the explosive quarterback. It's easy to talk about "x's and o's" from a bird's eye point of view, but the fact remains that Tagovailoa has had everyone by the throat this season. Georgia might be no different. The 2018 SEC Championship betting line certainly indicates that.

2018 SEC Championship Betting Analysis

Most are taking the points on the Bulldogs to keep this one closer than the -13 spread. Georgia has been terrific since the loss to LSU way back on Oct. 13. The Bulldogs have run off 5 straight wins and have gone 4-1 ATS.

But, the trends give Alabama a shot to cover. The Crimson Tide is 5-1 ATS in their last 6, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at a neutral site, and 4-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record. The reason to like Georgia against the spread is how the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and how the Tide is 2-5 ATS in the last 7.

13 points feels like a lot, but this is a special Alabama Crimson Tide team. Nick Saban’s put together one of the most complete college football teams I’ve ever seen; one that can rely on the rush, pass, or its defense to not only win games but destroy opponents.

Bama’s lone non-cover in their last 6 was when they only beat The Citadel 50-17 as a -53.5 favorite. Even against what feels like a gargantuan line, Alabama's the play.

2018 SEC Championship Betting Free Pick: Alabama -13