MAC Action Kicks Off Week 11 College Football Mid-Week

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D.S. Williamson

November 6th, 2018

The three best teams in the Mid-American Conference are in mid-week action to kick off Week 11 College Football betting. On Tuesday, 8-1 Buffalo hosts Kent State. The Bulls hope to continue to rumble towards the MAC Championship. So far, Buffalo’s dominated their conference opponents, going undefeated at 5-0.

A day later, both the Ohio Bobcats and the Northern Illinois Huskies are in action. The Bobcats are a game behind Buffalo in the MAC East Division. Ohio battles Buffalo in Week 12. If the Bobcats hope to make that matchup a throw down for the division title they must get by tough Miami-Ohio as a less than 4-point road favorite on Nov. 7.

After the Bobcats at Redhawks on Wednesday, the Northern Illinois Huskies host the Toledo Rockets. Although 5-0 in the MAC with only 3 games left, Northern Illinois hasn’t yet sewn up the West Division. All 3 of the Huskies remaining games are versus MAC foes, meaning that Northern Illinois can’t take a backward step or they might lose out on a ticket to the Mid-American Conference Championship.

Check out analysis of all the dramatic MAC action on Tuesday and Wednesday in my Week 11 College Football free picks. Let's build that bankroll towards another big Saturday!

Tuesday, Nov. 6

Kent State Golden Flashes at Buffalo Bulls -20

Sometimes, a terrible straight up team can do wonders ATS. The Golden Flashes appears to be one of those teams. They’ve gone 2-7 SU but are 6-3 ATS. So far, college football handicappers aren’t looking past Kent State’s winning record against the spread. The line has moved a full 2.5 points from an opening Buffalo -22.5 to Buffalo -20.

Although the line movement’s impressive, the Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games in November, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 following a straight up win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in the previous game.

Buffalo is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Bulls are also on a fantastic 4-0 ATS win streak. I’m backing the Bulls.

Week 11 College Football Pick: Buffalo -20

 Wednesday, Nov. 7

Ohio Bobcats -3.5 at Miami-Ohio Redhawks

The Bobcats have been fantastic against their MAC opponents. In addition to the 4-1 conference record, the Bobcats are also 4-1 ATS in the conference. Their only loss against the spread in their last 5 was to Kent State on the road on Oct. 6.

Most bettors are laying the -3.5 because although the Redhawks will fight hard, Miami-Ohio’s only 2-2 ATS in their home games this season. Overall, the trends don't point to a single Redhawks’ disadvantage, but in the head-to-head, Ohio’s dominated. The Bobcats are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Miami-Ohio. I like the Bobcats to win and cover.

Week 11 College Football Free Pick: Ohio -3.5

Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois Huskies -3

In the head-to-head, Toledo has the edge, going 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 at Northern Illinois and 13-6-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings. The Huskies are only 5-4 ATS on the season. They’ve only gone 1-2 ATS at home.

Although the Huskies are on a 5-game winning streak, they average 19.2 points, but give up a shade more at 21.7 against. I can see Toledo forcing the Huskies to speed the game up, like what Akron did in Week 10 in a 36-26 Northern Illinois win. Although NIU had no trouble beating and covering against Akron, they won’t even get the “W” versus Toledo if they end up playing the at the Rockets’ fast pace. I’m taking a shot on the dog to win straight up.

Week 11 College Football Free Pick: Toledo +135 ML