NCAAF Week 14 Betting Guide

Profile Picture: Dan Halverson

November 26th, 2019

There's no better time in college football than Rivalry Week. Every game is a hotly-contested grudge match loaded with historical significance from skirmishes past. That's especially true for Michigan and Ohio State, who have been facing off on the gridiron since 1897 and will butt heads again this Saturday at the Big House.

We have odds and a preview of that Big Ten showdown as well as several other critical Week 14 games in our latest NCAAF Betting Guide.

Wager on all Week 14 NCAAF action at BetAmerica!


Ohio State Buckeyes
-9.5 (-110)
O 51 (-111)
Michigan Wolverines
+9.5 (-110)
U 51 (-109)
*All odds are subject to change.

After indulging in a Thanksgiving feast, what better way to digest than spending the next couple of days watching some of the greatest college football games that are played all season? First on the docket is the early kickoff Saturday when Ohio State heads to Michigan to take on the Wolverines in arguably the nation’s greatest rivalry.

Ohio State has dominated the series of late, winning seven in a row and 14 of the last 15. For the hype this gets as a rivalry, it actually hasn’t been one. The reason for this is quite simple; Ohio State has had both better players and better coaching. Looking at 2019’s matchup, things appear unchanged and are thus installed as a 9.5 point favorite.

Ohio State enters the game 11-0 straight up and 8-3 against the spread. They have failed to cover the spread each of the last two weeks as they spend each day in the college football news cycle being touted as the clear best team in the country and are understandably receiving inflated lines as a result of it. On the road against a preseason top 10 team and national title contender, that is still the case.
Michigan enters the game 9-2 and 7-3 against the spread. After a slow start to the season with struggles against Army and Wisconsin, Michigan has certainly turned the corner. QB Shea Patterson is finally playing with the ability that most expected of him and is utilizing the very talented wide receivers that Michigan possesses on the outside.

In the last two games, Patterson has 750 passing yards and nine touchdowns. Michigan has covered their last five games in a row against the spread, and playing at home with a chance to break an undesirable streak against their rival it won’t be surprising if that streak reaches six. Ohio State has been an unstoppable machine all season and seems destined for the College Football Playoff, but this is late November. Ohio State must be careful to finish everything on their plate before they move on to dessert.

Bet on Ohio State vs. Michigan here.

Alabama Crimson Tide
-3.5 (-111)
O 50 (-110)
Auburn Tigers
+3.5 (-109)
U 50 (-110)
The Alabama team we’ve grown accustomed to watching the last couple years is not going to be the same for the remainder of 2019. With the loss of star QB Tua Tagovailoa, there is undoubtedly a drop-off to backup QB Mac Jones. The question for every fan and gambler to determine, however, is how big that drop-off is.

Jones was a 3-star recruit coming out of high school from Jacksonville, Florida. He is a prototypical pocket passer, and even has the floppy haired haircut to remind viewers of Alabama quarterbacks of yesteryear. He is also the field general for a team that has reasonable expectations of sneaking into the college football playoff with a win against Auburn. Despite getting to make his first start against Western Carolina, he gets to make his second start on the road in one of the sport’s greatest and most intense rivalries: The Iron Bowl.
Alabama enters 10-1 straight up for the season and 6-5 against the spread. They are favorites on the road against their rival, Auburn, which is 7-3 straight up and 7-3 against the spread. All of Auburn’s losses have been respectable, coming against the other elites of the SEC (Florida, LSU, Georgia). Alabama’s lone loss has come against LSU. If Tagovailoa were playing in this game, Alabama would have likely been playing as a 10-point favorite (and maybe even higher).

While Tagovailoa might not be worth seven points from a standard “wins above replacement” scenario, the question is if Jones will be capable of handling the stress and complexities of a road game against an elite SEC defense with first-round talent of its own. If he can, Alabama is still the better team with incredible offensive talent. But if he can’t, the Alabama dynasty might experience a demoralizing loss at the hands of an opponent who could be none happier to deliver it.

Bet on Alabama vs. Auburn here.

Wisconsin Badgers
-2.5 (-114)
O 47.5 (-110)
Minnesota Golden Gophers
+2.5 (-106)
U 47.5 (-110)
The battle for the Big Ten West happens this Saturday as Wisconsin heads to Minnesota to take on the Gophers in what should be a fantastically cold late November game to decide who takes on Ohio State in the conference championship. Minnesota is 10-1 straight up and 8-3 against the spread, only losing a well-contested road game at rival Iowa two weeks ago. Despite their outstanding success, they still find themselves as an underdog against Wisconsin.

Wisconsin is 9-2 straight up and 5-5 against the spread. After starting the season looking like a legitimate threat to Ohio State’s dominance, back-to-back losses against Illinois and Ohio State crushed any hopes of national championship dreams. What still remains, however, is a chance to take on the conference’s giant and redeem a 38-7 loss early in the year.

Wisconsin QB Jack Coan isn’t considered an elite quarterback, but he is completing an effective 72.7% of his passes. He has 15 touchdowns against just four interceptions. With the threat of running back Jonathan Taylor keeping defenses honest, Coan has had plenty of opportunity to make timely throws to a number of different players. Quintez Cephus is the playmaker, but the Wisconsin offense doesn’t really play favorites.
For Minnesota, QB Tanner Morgan has been better than expected and highly efficient all season long. He doesn’t have as good of a completion percentage as Coan, sitting at 67.9%, but he has over 600 more passing yards and 11 more touchdowns than his counterpart. Morgan has two dangerous weapons to throw to. Tyler Johnson has 66 receptions, 1,025 yards, and 10 touchdowns, and his big-play threat, Rashod Bateman, has 1,023 yards and 10 touchdowns as well. Minnesota has been a well-rounded offense and has the more impressive victory of the two teams thus far this season after defeating Penn State a few weeks ago.

Minnesota will be a public underdog in a wild atmosphere, and Saturday’s outcome will likely be determined by just how effective Taylor and the Wisconsin rushing attack is in the fourth quarter. With a trip to Indianapolis on the line and it being the final regular season game of the year, we’re in store for an intense matchup with both teams leaving everything on the field.

Bet on Wisconsin vs. Minnesota here.

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  • Home teams have won 65% of all games SU in 2019
  • Home favorites have won a staggering 78% of all games SU in 2019
  • Teams ranked in the AP Top 25 went 19-2 SU against unranked opponents in Week 13
  • 52% of all games have gone UNDER the projected total in 2019
  • Underdogs were 32-31-1 ATS in Week 12 and are 372-389-12 overall in 2019
  • UL Lafayette and Oklahoma State have both covered the spread over 80% of the time in 2019
  • Akron has covered the spread just 9% of the time in 2019
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Game DateSpreadO/U
#17 Iowa vs. Nebraska
Fri, November 29
NEB +5.5
#19 Cincinnati vs. #18 Memphis
Fri, November 29
MEM -11
#20 Boise State vs. Colorado State
Fri, November 29
CSU +13.5
#24 Appalachian State vs. Troy
Fri, November 29
TROY +13
#3 Clemson vs. South Carolina
Sat, November 30
#4 Georgia vs. Georgia Tech
Sat, November 30
GT +28
Rutgers vs. #8 Penn State
Sat, November 30
#14 Baylor vs. Kansas
Sat, November 30
KU +14
Oregon State vs. #6 Oregon
Sat, November 30
ORE -19
#16 Notre Dame vs. Stanford
Sat, November 30
STAN +16.5
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You could do worse than having a hype man like Ryan Day. The high octane 40-year-old is still undefeated as head coach of Ohio State.

Jonathan Taylor hasn't formally announced that he'll be leaving Wisconsin after his junior year, but it's hard to imagine him returning after recording the 12th 200-yard game of his collegiate career.
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Trojans QB Kedon Slovis made history on Saturday by breaking USC's single-game passing record with 515 yards. Here are three things you should know about the record-breaking freshman:

  • Slovis attended Desert Mountain High School in Scottsdale, Arizona, where his quarterback coach was none other than two-time NFL MVP Kurt Warner.
  • Slovis has a big brain to go with that big arm. The fresh-faced 19-year-old graduated from high school a semester early and presently has a 3.42 GPA in business administration.
  • Slovis has only played 11 games for USC so far, but he has already recorded two of the top 10 passing games in school history. His 515 yards against UCLA is tops overall and

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