Week 13 NCAAF Betting – Notre Dame Shoots to Complete Undefeated Season at USC

Profile Picture: Jay Ginsbach

Jay Ginsbach

November 23rd, 2018

Notre Dame can complete a perfect regular season and secure their spot in the college football playoff with a win over the USC Trojans, who need a win to become bowl eligible. Could this be the last game at USC for coach Clay Helton? He’s not likely on the USC sidelines much longer. No such worries for head coach Brian Kelly at Notre Dame, who has guided and planned to perfection for the Irish to win again and secure their spot in the national championship playoff. This is one of the more prestigious matchups in rivalry week, but Week 13 NCAAF betting lines have the Irish as a double-digit road favorite.

No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-0) at USC Trojans (5-6) Saturday, Nov. 24th – 8:00pm ET on NBC Week 13 NCAAF Betting Line: Notre Dame -11.5 (54.5)

Notre Dame is averaging 454.5 yards per game this season, but the Irish have been better since QB Ian Book took over a month into the season. He returns to his home state and is no doubt looking forward to this big game with an opportunity to put Notre Dame into the college football playoff.

USC averages 377.1 yards per game, but the Trojans running game has been poor at 137.1 yards per game this season. The problems for USC start with turnovers, as the Trojans have lost eight fumbles and 10 interceptions, and their -9 turnover margin is 120th in the country. Last week’s loss to crosstown rival UCLA was the Trojans' fourth loss in five games. Even worse, USC isn't even a great take having now gone 0-4 ATS in the last month to drop them to 3-8 ATS this season. The Coliseum has long been one of the toughest venues to visit, but USC has lost its last two home games. This Week 13 NCAAF betting line is uncharted territory for the Trojans. It's been 21 years since USC has been a home dog on their own turf.

Notre Dame made it look easy last week rolling over No. 12 Syracuse 36-3 on a neutral field in the Bronx. Now they travel east to west for the regular season finale with all the pressure to win, and Notre Dame is just 2-8 ATS when traveling more than 1,000 miles. USC is also 6-0 ATS as a home underdog with a losing record, and the visitor in this series is on a 0-5 ATS run. The Irish are likely to take the bets again this week, and the stats certainly support Notre Dame and the golden domers to deliver again. But in this close out rivalry game, Notre Dame may have to scramble to hang on and complete a perfect regular season. A college football playoff spot waits, but a desperate rival may make it tougher than expected as USC also needs a win to secure a bowl bid.

Week 13 NCAAF Betting Free Pick – USC Trojans +11.5

Fairway Jay is a professional handicapper based out of Las Vegas. He focuses primarily on the four majors along with college football and college basketball. You can follow him on Twitter @FairwayJay.