MLB Thursday Preview: Mets at Braves, Rockies at Giants

Profile Picture: Robert Criscola

April 11th, 2019

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New York Mets (7-4) at Atlanta Braves (7-4), 7:20 p.m. ET

Steven Matz (0-0, 0.87 ERA) (NYM) +115 / +1.5 runs (-175) / Over nine runs (-105) Kevin Gausman (1-0, 0.00 ERA) (ATL) -125 / -1.5 runs (+155) / Under nine runs (-115)

Expect solid efforts from both Steven Matz and Kevin Gausman on Thursday night, as the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves commence a four-game series at SunTrust Park.

Matz struggled with command (four walks) in his most recent outing but still blanked the Nationals through five innings. He’s allowed just one earned run in his first two starts. In his previous six starts against the Braves, Matz is 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA, and his strikeout/walk ratio is 5.4. He’s held Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis to seven hits (no home runs) in 30 at-bats.

Gausman posted great stats in five starts at SunTrust Park last year, going 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.031 WHIP. He pitched seven innings of shutout baseball April 4 against the Marlins in his 2019 debut. New York’s Robinson Cano is 6-for-15 lifetime against Gausman, but he’s currently hitting .200.

MLB Free Play: Under 4.5 (EVEN) first five innings 

Colorado Rockies (3-9) at San Francisco Giants (4-9), 9:45 p.m. ET

Jon Gray (0-2, 5.68 ERA) (COL) -115 / -1.5 runs (+145) / Over seven runs (-115) Jeff Samardzija (0-0, 2.79 ERA) (SF) +105 / +1.5 runs (-165) / Under seven runs (-105) 

Bettors should expect plenty of runs to be put up at Oracle Park on Thursday night, as Jon Gray and the Rockies visit Jeff Samardzija and the Giants.

Gray is 0-2 in his last six starts against San Francisco with a 6.15 ERA. His road ERA since 2016 (42 starts) is 4.83. Brandon Crawford, who has at least one hit in every game he’s played in April, is 4-for-11 lifetime against Gray.

Samardzija has poor numbers against just about every important Colorado hitter. Nolan Arenado has 13 hits in 33 at-bats against “Shark,” while Charlie Blackmon has 10 hits in 34 trips to the plate. Ian Desmond, who seems to have recovered from a serious early slump with three hits in his last two games, is 10-for-27 against Samardzija with two home runs.

MLB Free Play: Over