The 5 best betting props for UFC 264

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Danny Howard

July 9th, 2021

UFC 264 is set to take place on Saturday, July 10 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and we have the five best betting props and picks to ensure you're the big winner when the final bell rings.

Sean O’Malley - Round 2 (+300)

Sun, July 11 2021, 2:25 AM

O'Malley, Sean



Moutinho, Kris



O’Malley is due for another early night against the seventh ranked bantamweight... in New England. For what it’s worth, Kris Moutinho is somewhat durable, and being a late sub should delay the inevitable. While a first round stoppage is tantalizing, we see O’Malley winning in the second.

Greg Hardy moneyline (+110)

Sun, July 11 2021, 3:25 AM

Tuivasa, Tai



Hardy, Greg



Hardy faces fellow middling heavyweight Tai Tuivasa on the main card in a battle of cardio-compromised heavyweights. The kicker here is that of Tuivasa’s four fights that have gone beyond the first round, he’s lost three of them and should have lost against Andrei Arlovski. Hardy’s power, size, and reach should keep him upright and help him win a minor upset.

Irene Aldana to win by decision (+160)

Sun, July 11 2021, 2:55 AM

Aldana, Irene



Kunitskaya, Yana



Aldana is in a competitive match against Yana Kunitskaya, but her activity and experience should carry the day. Kunitskaya’s path to victory involves ground control and takedowns, whereas Aldana can rely on her volume striking and movement to actively score points. The call here is Aldana outworking Kunitskaya and winning by points.

Stephen Thompson to win by decision (+150)

Sun, July 11 2021, 4:00 AM

Burns, Gilbert



Thompson, Stephen



In our preview for the co-feature, we liked Thompson’s takedown defense and superior striking technique to carry the day against the formidable Gilbert Burns. Because Burns will have to resort to outstriking Thompson, it’s hard seeing him overtaking an opponent he can’t pin down or submit. Even if Burns does time Thompson’s rhythm, Thompson will have the rounds in the bag and a win on the cards.

Dustin Poirier to Win & Over 2.5 Rounds (+240)

Sun, July 11 2021, 4:45 AM

Poirier, Dustin



McGregor, Conor



The final chapter of the Poirier/McGregor trilogy serves as the headlining act of UFC 264 and is one of the most anticipated fights of the year. Poirier weathered the storm of an early McGregor rush to chip away at McGregor’s mobility to score a stoppage. This should end up as a more measured contest between the two rivals. We believe Poirier’s strategy will consist of taking McGregor into the later rounds where he’ll close the show, so the parlay pick of a Poirier win after 2.5 rounds is the money pick for the main event.