NASCAR at Las Vegas - Harvick Favored to Win the 2019 Pennzoil 400

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D.S. Williamson

February 28th, 2019

NASCAR heads to Sin City this Sunday for the 2019 Pennzoil 400.

Last week, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Keselowski’s one of the favorites to win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but he's not the favorite. That’s Kevin Harvick. Check out analysis and free picks for the favorites, the drivers that figure, and the two underdogs with a chance to win on Sunday, March 3rd!

2019 Pennzoil 400 Favorites

Kevin Harvick +500
Kyle Busch +600
Martin Truex Jr. +650
Kyle Larson +650
Brad Keselowski +700
Joey Logano +1000
 Since 2014, Brad Keselowski’s won this race twice, Harvick’s won it twice, and Martin Truex Jr. has won it once. If the pattern holds, either Kevin, Martin, or Brad will take the checkered flag.

But, it’s hard to win two NASCAR Monster Energy Cup races in a row and that’s what Keselowski’s trying to accomplish. Not only that, one driver on the list has been hot on the track even though he has yet to win.

Kyle Busch finished sixth at Atlanta last Sunday. He finished second in the Daytona 500 after starting thirty-first and leading 37 laps. In 15 races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Kyle has a win, 6 top 5 finishes and 11 top 20 finishes. He should be ready to roll on March 3 and deserves the nod among the favorites.

2019 Pennzoil 400 Pick - Kyle Busch

Outsiders That Could Invade Winner's Circle

Ryan Blaney +1200
Clint Bowyer +2500
Clint Bowyer +2500
Kurt Busch +2500
Erik Jones +2500
Aric Almirola +2500
Denny Hamlin +2500
Chase Elliott +2500
Jimmie Johnson +3300
There’s a reason Blaney’s all alone at +1200 while everyone else is at +2500 or higher. Blaney’s average finish at Atlanta is 8.40 in 5 races. He’s finished in the top 5 twice while also winning a pole.

Although that’s true about Blaney, Erik Jones is in much better form. He followed up a third place finish at Daytona with a seventh place at Atlanta. Jones has only raced 3 times at Las Vegas. He did finish in the Top 10 once from those 3 races. He’s also won a pole. Jones could solidify his position as a top Monster Energy Cup contender with a victory on March 3rd.

2019 Pennzoil 400 Pick - Erik Jones

2019 Pennzoil 400 Underdogs That Can Win

Austin Dillon +5000
Daniel Suarez +5000
 The odds jump from Dillon and Suarez at +5000, while everyone else is getting massive odds of +8000 or more, which is why only those two drivers show up as underdogs that can win at Las Vegas. Of the two, Austin Dillon looks like the choice on paper. He finished thirteenth in the 2018 Pennzoil 400, and averages a 15.86 finish from 7 races over Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Suarez had an awful run last year. He finished twenty-sixth. He improved at Atlanta last week after an awful race at Daytona, though. Suarez finished tenth at Atlanta. That should give him confidence heading to Vegas.

Of the +5000 drivers, Suarez is the better play.

2019 Pennzoil 400 Longshot Pick - Daniel Suarez