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Mavericks vs. Warriors: The best Luka Doncic prop bets for Feb. 27

Profile Picture: Robert Criscola

February 27th, 2022

Two of the NBA’s most electrifying players in Luka Doncic and Stephen Curry will face off against one another when the Dallas Mavericks visit the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Sunday night.

TwinSpires is offering several intriguing player prop wagers concerning Doncic in this one – let’s dive in and deliver our take on three of them.

Dallas Mavericks (35-25) at Golden State Warriors (43-17), 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

Mon, February 28 2022, 12:30 AM

GS Warriors

Moneyline

-182

Spread

-4.5

Total

O 220

DAL Mavericks

Moneyline

+150

Spread

+4.5

Total

U 220

Luka Doncic Over/Under 9.5 rebounds

Doncic averages 9.1 rebounds per game, but has cleared double-digit boards in three of his last four contests. Nevertheless, prop bettors should expect a sub-par night on the glass for the Mavericks star.

The Warriors are fifth in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game, and eighth in offensive rebounds per game. In his first two meetings with Golden State this year, Doncic was held to seven and eight total rebounds, respectively.

The juice to the Under is a bit irksome, but is understandable. Take advantage now before this line potentially drops.

NBA pick: Under (-129)


Luka Doncic Over/Under 2.5 made 3-point field goals

Doncic has been taking and making more threes as the season has gone on, especially now that Kristaps Porzingis (trade) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (injury) are out of the picture. His playing “hero ball” may not help him clear his lofty point total of 29.5, but the Over on 3-point shots looks like the right side.

Doncic has sunk no fewer than three 3-pointers in five of his last seven overall, and has attempted an average of 9.4 3-point field goals in that span. If he keeps going at this volume, oddsmakers will have to adjust eventually. For now, prop players should take advantage.

NBA pick: Over (-143)


Luka Doncic Over/Under 8.5 assists

One of the most amazing things about Doncic is his passing ability despite being a “big man,” as he’s averaging nearly as many assists per game (9.0) as rebounds per game (9.1) this season. However, the stingy Warriors stoppers should keep Doncic in check in this department as well.

Golden State has allowed just 103.6 points per game this year, good for fourth in the NBA. Opponent shooting percentages from the floor and from 3-point range are 43.2% and 33.3%, respectively, both of which rank second in the league. Furthermore, the Warriors held Doncic to a grand total of 12 assists over their first two meetings of the campaign.

Doncic can’t get assists if his teammates can’t score. Take the Under here.

NBA pick: Under (-125)

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