NBA Betting Trends: The Grizzlies are rolling on the road
As we head into the 2022 NBA All-Star Weekend, we have a strong set of data to dive into. Let's break down the latest metrics from around the league, and determine which trends you should take advantage of this week and beyond.
NBA Mini-series trends
We discussed the NBA mini-series that occur from time to time throughout the season in last week's column. We've found a few interesting trends in the Western Conference:
- The road favorite is a nice 4-1 ATS in the first game
- The favorite is 11-6-1 ATS overall in the first game
- In the second game, the underdog is 12-6 ATS, and road underdogs are an amazing 9-2 ATS
- The team that lost straight-up in the first game is 12-6 ATS in the second game
- The road team in the second game is 13-5 ATS
There is not a mini-series this week with only two days left before the All-Star break, but bettors can expect more in late February.
NBA Championship 2021/2022
Sat, June 18 2022, 11:58 PM
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
Each week, we continue to track how certain teams are in playing in back-to-back games in specific situations.
When a team wins by six points or less and then plays again the very next day, they are a dreadful 14-25-2 ATS. Some of the worst teams in the NBA on the second game of a back-to-back are the Houston Rockets (1-6-1 ATS) and Brooklyn Nets (1-7-1 ATS).
The best teams in the NBA on the second game of a back-to-back are the Toronto Raptors (9-2 ATS), Memphis Grizzlies (7-3 ATS), and Indiana Pacers (6-3 ATS).
Overs and Unders
On the season so far, the totals favor the Under at 431-423 in all games, and 427-392 in all non-overtime games. That means that the Over is 31-4 in all overtime games, according to Covers.com.
The hottest team for betting the Over is the Minnesota Timberwolves. They are 17-3 in favor of the Over in their past 20 games, and 24-7 to the Over in all road games. Minnesota is now the best team to bet on the Over in the NBA at 36-22. The Indiana Pacers (11-1) and Milwaukee Bucks (11-3) are also on Over hot streaks.
Serge Ibaka starts his @Bucks career with 3 quick makes! pic.twitter.com/Iay4w2PJLh— NBA (@NBA) February 15, 2022
The Mavericks are still in the lead when looking at the best teams to bet the Under on with five of their past six games going below the projected point total. The Boston Celtics are on the hottest streak for Unders, as they have gone Under the total in 11 of their last 15 games with one push. The New Orleans Pelicans (14-6) and Cleveland Cavaliers (8-4) are also on Under hot streaks.
Memphis is rolling
The Memphis Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the NBA as they have won six consecutive games and are 22-4 over their past 26 contests. They are also on fire against the spread. The Grizz are a league leading 40-19 ATS on the season, and have covered in six consecutive games.
Z-LOB@JaMorant | @therealZiaire pic.twitter.com/SQa6NUVp29— Bally Sports: Grizzlies (@GrizzOnBally) February 13, 2022
The Grizzlies are especially good on the road, where they are 22-8 ATS. They are 9-2 ATS when favored on the road. They are 10-2 ATS when they are in the rest sweet spot of 2-3 days off between games.