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Suns vs. Bucks: NBA Finals Game 4 betting odds, preview, and pick

Profile Picture: Jeremy Jones

July 13th, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks climbed back into the NBA Finals after a Game 3 victory. Can the Phoenix Suns take back control with a road win?

We have the betting odds and preview you need before Game 4 tips off on Wednesday at 9:00 p.m. ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.

Thu, July 15 2021, 1:10 AM

MIL Bucks

Moneyline

-182

Spread

-4.5

Total

O 220

PHO Suns

Moneyline

+150

Spread

+4.5

Total

U 220

Giannis is better than ever

Coming into this series, it was commonly believed Giannis Antetokounmpo would not play in the first two or three games after hyperextending his left knee in the Eastern Conference Finals. Once it was announced that he would start in Game 1, there were still doubts about how healthy he truly was and how effective he would be.

Those doubts have been quickly dismissed as Antetokounmpo is averaged 34.3 points, 14.0 rebounds, 4.7 assists, 1.3 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game. He is also shooting 62.5% from the field. "The Greek Freak" is doing everything in his power to keep the Bucks alive in this series, and his superhuman effort finally paid off with a massive Game 3 win.

CP3 will bounce back

Chris Paul is still the favorite to win Finals MVP honors, but he will need to bounce back from that Game 3 loss with a big night on Wednesday to remain on top. The good news for the Suns is that "CP3" has shown great resilience throughout this postseason.

In the first round against the Los Angeles Lakers, Paul had a horrible Game 2 in a loss and while his Game 3 was not great, it was better than the previous game. In Game 4, Paul had his only double-digit scoring game of the series in a massive Game 4 win to even the series.

In the Western Conference Finals, Paul bounced back from losses in Games 3 and 5 with great performances in Games 4 and 6 in huge wins to help the Suns advance. In Game 6 against the Los Angeles Clippers, Paul put up 41 points and eight assists in a 27-point victory.

Winning in Milwaukee is no walk in the park

It's always tough to win on the road in the playoffs, but it has been especially tough at the Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are 8-1 at home this postseason, with the lone loss being a Game 1 shocker to the Atlanta Hawks.

In the regular season, the Bucks went 26-10 at home and scored 1.3 more points per game, while allowing 2.3 less points per game than on the road. Meanwhile, the Suns were not a bad road team as they went 24-12 in the regular season. However, they did score 2.5 less points per game and allowed 3.8 more points per game than at home.

After scoring 118 points in each of the first two games, the Suns only scored 100 points in Game 3, while allowing 120 points compared to 105 and 108 in each of the first two games. The Suns have only lost consecutive games five times this year, but three of those occurrences came on the road.

NBA Pick: Suns +4.5, Over 220.5

The trends and recent history are not backing me on this pick, but my gut is pulling me towards the Suns. Phoenix has been incredible all season long and every time you start to let a little doubt creep into your head, they bounce back and prove you wrong. I think they win a high scoring Game 4 where both teams play their best basketball.

Featured Player Prop: Chris Paul Over 21.5 points and team to win (+325)

I already mentioned how I believe the Suns will win this game. Well, for them to do so on the road, they're going to need a big scoring game from Paul. I believe he'll have another bounce back game following a loss and will easily hit the Over here.

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