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Suns vs. Bucks: The best Khris Middleton prop bets for Game 6 of the NBA Finals

Profile Picture: Jeremy Jones

July 20th, 2021

Milwaukee Bucks star Khris Middleton has been nothing short of spectacular in his team's turnaround in these NBA Finals. The two-time All-Star is averaging 25.4 points, 5.4 assists, and 6.6 rebounds per game heading into tonight's potential closeout Game 6.

Wed, July 21 2021, 1:10 AM

MIL Bucks

Moneyline

-210

Spread

-5

Total

O 222

PHO Suns

Moneyline

+170

Spread

+5

Total

U 222

Here are the three best Khris Middleton player prop bets to wager on tonight.

Over/Under 2.5 3-point field goals

There is a reason they refer to Middleton by the nickname "Khash," as he's been money from beyond the arc in these playoffs. Middleton is 59-for-171 (34.5%) from downtown in the postseason as a whole, and 15-for-41 (36.6%) in the NBA Finals.

He has been especially dangerous from beyond the arc at home. He is 27-for-71 (38.0%) from 3-point range in home playoff games. In the regular season, he shot an amazing 46.8% from 3 in home games.

Middleton has gone over this number in 14 of the 22 playoff games he has played in this year and four of the five NBA Finals games. "Khash" is going to try to put the finishing touches on this championship season at home and will hit this number out of pure volume.

Pick: Over 2.5 3-point field goals made (-148)


Over/Under 6.5 rebounds

This number is pretty much spot on for what Middleton has averaged in the playoffs thus far. He is averaging 6.6 rebounds per game in the entire postseason and in the Finals. In even number games in the Finals, he has exactly 6.0 rebounds in each game. In odd number games in the Finals, he has exactly 7.0 rebounds in each game.

This may seem like a bit of a gamble here, but the odds do not speak to the 50/50 nature of the recent history of Middleton’s numbers. The odds here should be right about -110 to -115 for both the Over and the Under. Instead, we have the Over at -148 and the Under at +115. I will take those odds on a 50/50 pick all day!

Pick: Under 6.5 rebounds (+115)


Over/Under 38.5 points, rebounds, and assists

This is a tricky one for someone like Middleton because he can turn into "Khash Money" at any point and hit this number easily. Based on his NBA Finals averages, he is just below this number at 37.8 points, rebounds, and assists per game.

However, if you go by individual game, he has gone Under this number in two games and Over this number in three games. One game, he went Over this number just in the points column with 40 points in Game 4.

Since I already like the Under on Middleton rebounds, this likely will come down to how much he scores here in Game 6. Let’s just say Middleton grabs six rebounds and has five assists, which would be about average for him in this postseason. That would leave him needing 28 points to go Over this total.

Khash has gone for 28+ points in three NBA Finals games and seven playoff games this year. While I do not love betting against him to do so in Game 6, I am also on the Suns and the Under on the game total in this one. It would make sense for me to go with the Under here as well.

Pick: Under 38.5 points, rebounds, and assists (-120)

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