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49ers vs. Rams: The best Matt Stafford prop bets for the NFC Conference Championship

Profile Picture: Robert Criscola

January 29th, 2022

Matt Stafford has been the driving force behind the Los Angeles Rams’ offense for most of the season, and the team will need another big effort from him in Sunday’s NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers.

There are several prop wagers being offered on Stafford’s performance in this one, so let’s dive in and highlight our three favorites.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams, 6:30 p.m. ET, FOX

Sun, January 30 2022, 11:30 PM

LA Rams

Moneyline

-182

Spread

-3.5

Total

O 45.5

SF 49ers

Moneyline

+150

Spread

+3.5

Total

U 45.5

Matt Stafford Over/Under 278.5 passing yards

Stafford’s Divisional Round performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers – in which he threw for 366 yards – suggests that he’ll clear this 278.5 passing yard line with ease. But two modest performances against the 49ers’ defense in the regular season ought to make Over bettors think twice.

Stafford threw for only 238 yards against San Francisco’s stoppers in Week 18 (32 attempts), and just 243 yards in Week 10 (41 attempts). In fact, the former Detroit Lion signal caller topped 278 passing yards in only one of his final four regular season games, and threw for only 202 yards in L.A.’s Wild Card triumph over the Arizona Cardinals.

The Niners have also allowed 230 passing yards or fewer in six straight games, including their first two contests in these playoffs.

NFL pick: Under (-114)


Matt Stafford Over/Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

The juice is steep for Over bettors in Stafford’s passing touchdown market, but he should clear 1.5 passing scores with relative ease.

Stafford tossed multiple touchdowns in six of his last seven regular season games, and had exactly two throwing scores in both the Wild Card Round and the Divisional Round.

With an embarrassment of riches at his disposal – led by wide receiver Triple Crown winner Cooper Kupp – Stafford should get to at least two passing touchdowns on Sunday night.

NFL pick: Over (-230)


Matt Stafford Over/Under 23.5 pass completions

San Fran’s stoppers typically keep the play in front of them, but they allow plenty of short-yardage completions. In fact, only two teams had a higher opponent completion percentage in the regular season than the Niners at 68.3%.

Stafford completed over 70% of his throws in each of his first two postseason games, and was a 67.2% passer in the regular year. With both Cam Akers and Sony Michel in the backfield now, San Francisco has to respect the run game, opening more windows for Stafford when he drops back.

NFL pick: Over (-129)

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