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Bills vs. Chiefs: The best player prop bets for the Divisional Round

Profile Picture: Robert Criscola

January 22nd, 2022

The fourth and final NFL Divisional Round game of the weekend pits the Buffalo Bills against the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday night in a rematch of the 2021 AFC Championship Game.

We’ve already taken a dive into the full-game market, but now we’ll dig into the litany of available player props and highlight our three favorites.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs, 6:30 p.m. ET, CBS

Sun, January 23 2022, 11:30 PM

KC Chiefs

Moneyline

-127

Spread

-2

Total

O 54

BUF Bills

Moneyline

+105

Spread

+2

Total

U 54

Josh Allen Over/Under 1.5 pass TDs

Bills signal caller Josh Allen put on a show in the Wild Card round, carving up the New England Patriots defense for 308 yards and five touchdowns. While it might be hard for him to replicate those numbers on the road, it’s certainly noteworthy that he faces a much more manageable opponent in this one.

The Chiefs allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game in the NFL this season (251.4), surrendering 27 touchdowns through the air in the process. Allen torched this unit in their most recent meeting, going for 315 yards and three touchdowns in Week 5 at Arrowhead Stadium.

It’s easy to see Allen tossing at least two touchdowns in this affair.

NFL pick: Over (-205)


Travis Kelce Over/Under 69.5 receiving yards

Though Travis Kelce was able to accumulate 108 yards in the Chiefs’ convincing Wild Card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, it’s hard to envision him having a similar outing against Buffalo on Sunday.

Kelce went for 34 receiving yards or fewer in four of his final five regular season games. He was also kept to just 57 yards in his team’s Week 5 matchup with the Bills.

Under 5.5 receptions is very possible too, but the better bet is for Kelce to stay under 70 receiving yards against Buffalo’s sixth-ranked unit by yards allowed to tight ends (37.0 per game).

NFL pick: Under (-114)


Jerick McKinnon touchdown scorer

In spite of Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) returning to the lineup after a three-game absence, bettors should anticipate Jerick McKinnon continuing to play a major role in Kansas City’s offense.

McKinnon got a season-high 18 touches in the Wild Card round, accounting for 142 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. Dangerous both on the ground and through the air, McKinnon should find the end zone against a Bills defense that allowed 17 touchdowns to running backs in the regular season.

NFL pick: McKinnon anytime TD (+150)

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