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Bills vs. Titans: The best player prop bets for MNF

Profile Picture: Jeremy Jones

October 17th, 2021

The Bills Mafia will head to Nashville for a massive Monday Night Football game between two of the AFC's top contenders.

The Buffalo Bills have won four straight games in impressive fashion after their opening game upset loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Tennessee Titans have a rough stretch of their schedule coming up, and it all starts with the Bills on Monday night.

Tue, October 19 2021, 12:15 AM

TEN Titans

Moneyline

+195

Spread

+5.5

Total

O 53

BUF Bills

Moneyline

-240

Spread

-5.5

Total

U 53

Let's examine the three best player props to bet ahead of the Monday Night Football matchup between the Bills and Titans.

Derrick Henry Over/Under 97.5 rushing yards

After a terrible game in Week 1, Derrick Henry has been a machine in the backfield for Tennessee. He has averaged 145.5 yards per game over the past four games and has gone over 100 yards rushing in each of them.

However, Henry does not have a great history against the Bills. In his three career matchups with Buffalo, he has only averaged 63.7 yards per game and 3.8 yards per attempt. Buffalo is ranked third in the NFL in rushing defense, allowing just 78.4 yards per game.

Thus far, the leading rusher from a running back position against the Bills is Najee Harris in Week 1 with a whopping 45 yards. The overall leading rusher is Patrick Mahomes last week with 61 rushing yards. The run of 100+ yards rushing will end here for Henry.

Pick: Under 97.5 rushing yards (-113)


Stefon Diggs Over/Under 6.5 receptions

Stefon Diggs had a rough go during the Bills' Sunday night victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. He had only two catches for 69 yards on five targets. It was by far his season low in both categories.

However, prior to that game, Diggs was a target machine. He was averaging 10.5 targets per game and 6.5 receptions per game. Diggs has only played the Titans twice in his career, once for Minnesota and once for Buffalo. Nonetheless, he has had great success against Tennessee. He averaged 8.5 receptions for 104.5 yards in those two games.

The Tennessee defense has been mediocre against the pass this season, allowing 21.2 receptions per game. They have allowed at least six receptions to every single top receiver they have faced this season. I really like Diggs to have a bounce back performance in this one.

Pick: Over 6.5 receptions (-143)


Touchdown scorer: Jeremy McNichols

The Bills have a stellar run defense and have only allowed one rushing touchdown all season. The Titans know that Henry will be the key focus of the Bills defense and they will need to get creative in the red zone to score. This is where Jeremy McNichols comes into play.

McNichols is the second leading target man for the Titans this year with 23 targets out of the backfield. He has also already scored a receiving touchdown this season in Week 3 against the Indianapolis Colts.

The Titans will try and mix things up to score against this top defense and McNichols can provide that for them. I just love the value he represents to score at any point in the game out of the backfield.

Pick: McNichols anytime TD (+575)

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