Can anyone catch Lamar Jackson in the NFL MVP race?

Profile Picture: Brandon Coppinger

December 10th, 2019

Last week Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson was sitting at -360 odds to win the NFL MVP award at BetAmerica. After he led the Ravens to a 24-17 victory over Buffalo, he has now moved to a -800 favorite to win the honor.

Odds to win the NFL MVP award

PlayerTeamNFL MVP Odds
Lamar Jackson
Baltimore Ravens
Russell Wilson
Seattle Seahawks
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs
Deshaun Watson
Houston Texans
Jimmy Garoppolo
San Francisco 49ers

Jackson has been virtually unstoppable this season

Jackson has been on a tear this season, with 2,677 yards through the air in 13 games. He’s also rushed for 1,017 yards and has combined 35 touchdowns (28 passing, seven ushing). What’s even more impressive is that he currently has a 66.3% completion rate and has only thrown six interceptions.
The Ravens look like the best team in the league, and Jackson is a huge reason why, so it is understandable why the odds have moved so much in his favor. However, at -800 there isn't much value in placing a wager on the Baltimore QB. There's also the injury factor. With the way Jackson plays, he could go down at any time. With that in mind, it's worth looking at other candidates as the season nears the end.

Russell Wilson is an enormous value at +700

Why not take a shot with Russell Wilson? The Seattle Seahawks quarterback has thrown for 3,422 yards with 26 touchdowns and only five interceptions. He’s completed 66.8% of his passes. Wilson has also rushed for 312 yards and three touchdowns. His Seahawks are fighting hard for the NFC West title.

The award is for Most Valuable Player and Jackson has made a strong case. However, where would the Seahawks be without Wilson? Seattle ranks 27th in the league in overall defense, so he doesn’t have a good defense to fall back on. Wilson leads the fifth overall offense in the league, with weapons not many can name.

The Ravens, on the other hand, have the sixth-best defense in the league. If voters give the award for individual play, rather than team accomplishment, it should go to Wilson. It’s understandable why Jackson is the frontrunner, but he shouldn’t be by that wide of a margin.

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