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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: The best betting props for Super Bowl LV

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January 28th, 2021

This is it. The matchup is set.

It's the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. The defending champs will face a franchise that hadn't made the playoffs since 2007, and is an underdog going into this game.

Here are the three prop bets we like most for Super Bowl LV on Feb. 7 in Tampa.

Sun, February 7 2021, 11:30 PM

TB Buccaneers

Moneyline

+143

Spread

+3.5

Total

O 56.5

KC Chiefs

Moneyline

-175

Spread

-3.5

Total

U 56.5

Anytime touchdown

We are just over a week away from Super Bowl, so Mike Evans does get an extra few days to rest and prepare his injured knee for the biggest game of the year. 

The Buccaneers receiver was targeted eight times in the NFC Championship and hauled in a touchdown catch on one of his three receptions against Green Bay, giving him four touchdowns in his last five games. 

Evans is the Buccaneers' leader in red zone targets (18) and targets from within the opposition’s 10-yard line (14). He has made nine catches on 14 of those targets, and all nine have resulted in a major.

The defending champs from Kansas City don’t have many weaknesses, but one area the Chiefs have struggled in this season is red zone defense. 

Now, they have an extra week to prepare and shore things up, defensively, in those situations. But Evans has consistently been The Guy in the red zone for Brady, and the payoff has almost always been a touchdown. 

Keep an eye on the status of Evans going into the game, but have confidence that if he plays, there is a chance Brady will look to him in the red zone, and all you can ask for as a bettor are those opportunities. 

Pick: Mike Evans anytime touchdown (+125)


Travis Kelce receiving yards

The Travis Kelce hype train continues to pick up steam. 

Kelce has kept on dominating opposing defenses in the playoffs, going off on the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship for 13 catches on 15 targets, 118 yards receiving, and two touchdowns, as we expected.

The Super Bowl total for Travis Kelce receiving yards has been set at 94.5 yards, and the Over would’ve hit nine times this season. Eight times this season, he’s gone over 100 yards receiving. 

The Buccaneers were middle of the pack defensively when it came to yards receiving against opposing tight ends. And they actually limited Kelce to eight catches on eight targets for 82 yards back in Week 12. We use the term "limited" rather loosely. 

Kelce has averaged 11.4 targets per game since Week 8 of the regular season, as well as 8.6 receptions and 114 yards receiving. The Buccaneers may have held him to 82 yards earlier in the season, but feel confident that for one more week, Kelce will have another big game and should reach 95 yards or more receiving in the Super Bowl.

Pick: Over 94.5 receiving yards (-125)


Player to have the most rushing yards

When you’re dealing with the Chiefs, you have to take into consideration a more outside-the-box approach. 

For instance, this specific prop bet now available at TwinSpires Sports lists Chiefs’ receivers Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman as long shots with odds of +2500 and +3300, respectively, to have the most rushing yards in Super Bowl. 

So explosive is the Chiefs’ offense that Hardman turned one rushing attempt – a jet sweep – into 50 yards. That one play put him only three yards off the team lead for rushing yards against the Bills. 

Kansas City’s receivers are capable of that one explosive play, even as a rushing attempt, that racks up the yards. It’s still a long shot but don’t be totally dismissive of it, considering the Buccaneers' leading rusher in the NFC Championship Game was Leonard Fournette at 55 yards on 12 attempts. 

Fournette has the best odds at +175 and he is our pick for this bet. It’s a sensible option and he has led the Buccaneers in rushing yards and attempts in each of the team's three playoff games. 

The Chiefs also gave up 4.5 yards per run during the season. But with the way the Chiefs' offense operates, with its assortment of speedy playmakers, now would be a time to at least consider a long shot. 

Pick: Leonard Fournette (+175)

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