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Eagles vs. Broncos: NFL Week 10 betting odds, preview, and pick

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November 11th, 2021

The Philadelphia Eagles were riding high into Week 9 on the heels of a 44-6 massacre of the Detroit Lions, but they were promptly knocked down a peg by the Los Angeles Chargers, who handed them their fourth straight home loss.

The Denver Broncos – fresh off a shocking 30-16 triumph over the Dallas Cowboys – will try to avoid the same fate at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 10 when they host Jalen Hurts and company.

Let’s dig into this intriguing Sunday contest and see which side bettors should be on.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) at Denver Broncos (5-4), 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

Sun, November 14 2021, 9:25 PM

DEN Broncos

Moneyline

-148

Spread

-3

Total

O 45.5

PHI Eagles

Moneyline

+120

Spread

+3

Total

U 45.5

The Broncos can stymie the Philly rushing attack

The Eagles rely first and foremost on their ground game to generate offense, with Hurts playing a major role in that. The Alabama product leads his team in rushing yards (494), with a trio of tailbacks – namely Kenneth Gainwell, Jordan Howard, and Boston Scott with Miles Sanders on the IR – comprising the NFL’s seventh-leading rush offense (136.6 yards per game).

But the Denver defense appears up to the challenge at home, as they’re sixth in rushing yards allowed per game at 98.3. They held Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys to 72 yards on the ground last Sunday. The Broncos are also ninth in rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks this year (12.1 per game).

Hurts will likely have to make some big throws to win this game in the notoriously inhospitable confines of the “Mile High City,” and his overall numbers on the season don’t inspire confidence. He’s 21st in passing yards (1,981), 18th in passer rating (90.9), and 17th in passing touchdowns (11).

Denver ranks eighth in passing yards allowed per game (223.4), third in opponent passer rating (81.5), and tied for fourth in opponent passing touchdowns (11).

Judging Jeudy’s impact on Denver’s offense

Jerry Jeudy doesn’t have a touchdown grab for the Broncos in 2021, but the impact he’s had on his team’s offense cannot be understated.

Jeudy has suited up for three games thus far, hauling in 16 of 19 targets for 180 yards. In those three contests (Weeks 1, 8, and 9), quarterback Teddy Bridgewater produced three of his four highest passer ratings of the season. More importantly, Denver won and covered in all three tilts.

This spells trouble for an Eagles defense that’s fifth-worst in opponent passer rating this season (104.8).

Eagles vs. Broncos injury report

Philadelphia EaglesDenver Broncos
DeVonta Smith: Questionable (elbow)
Tim Patrick: Questionable (knee)
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside: Questionable (ankle)
Pat Surtain II: Questionable (knee)
Josh Sweat: Questionable (concussion)
Garett Bolles: Questionable (ankle)
Javon Hargrave: Questionable (shoulder)
Shelby Harris: Questionable (non-COVID illness)
Darius Slay: Questionable (hamstring)
Bobby Massie: Doubtful (ankle)

Eagles and Broncos betting trends

  • The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games
  • The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records
  • The Under is 14-3 in the Eagles’ last 17 games in November
  • The Under is 7-2 in the Broncos’ last nine games overall

The verdict

Denver’s defense should bottle up the Eagles’ rushing attack, exposing their one-dimensional offense. The Broncos won’t be the flashiest 6-4 team anyone’s ever seen, but they should get the job done on Sunday.

Score prediction: Broncos 24, Eagles 16

NFL pick: Broncos -3

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