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Jets vs. Patriots: NFL Week 7 betting odds, preview, and pick

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October 19th, 2021

The New England Patriots will seek their 12th straight win against their AFC East rival, the New York Jets, when the two clash in a Week 7 showdown at Gillette Stadium on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.

Sun, October 24 2021, 5:00 PM

NE Patriots

Moneyline

-315

Spread

-7

Total

O 42.5

NY Jets

Moneyline

+240

Spread

+7

Total

U 42.5

Turnover battle will determine second meeting of the season

These two franchises already met this season, in Week 2 at MetLife Stadium, where New England humiliated rookie Zach Wilson in a 25-6 beatdown.  

The No. 2 overall pick had little hope against Bill Belichick, who is 22-6 against rookie quarterbacks since he became head coach of the Patriots in 2000.

In Wilson's first matchup against the six-time Super Bowl-winning coach, he completed 19 of his 33 passes for 210 yards and recorded a season-high four interceptions.

All but one of those picks resulted in points for the other team and two occurred during New York's first two drives of the game.

Wilson has thrown at least one interception in each game this season and a total of nine (the most in the league).

The Jets will come in fresh off a bye week, but Wilson's turnover issues are likely to return against a defense tied for 10th in the league in takeaways (10).

Jones' mistakes haunt Pats in Week 6 overtime defeat

New England has its turnover issues, as well, but enjoyed a clean outing against New York in Week 2.

Rookie quarterback Mac Jones, who was selected 15th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, completed 22 of his 30 passes for 186 yards, while running backs Damien Harris and James White ran the ball into the end zone for a pair of scores.

Jones was turnover free in Week 2 but posted a three-interception outing the following week, against New Orleans. He has since thrown at least one interception per game, including a costly pick returned for a touchdown in the final three minutes of a 35-29 overtime loss to Dallas on Sunday.

Jones also lost a fumble against the Cowboys to bring New England's total number of giveaways this season to 11 (third most in the NFL).

The Patriots were outgained by Dallas, 567 yards to 335, but held the Cowboys to three third-down conversions on 13 attempts.

Harris also celebrated his first 100-yard rushing day since Week 1 and ran for a season-high 5.6 yards per carry against a Dallas defense that ranks fifth (86.2 yards per game) against the run.

For comparison, the Jets surrender 123.4 yards per outing (21st in the league) and 1.4 rushing touchdowns (29th).

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots injury report

New York JetsNew England Patriots
OT Cameron Clark: Out (neck)
OG Shaq Mason: Questionable (abdomen)
SS Adrian Colbert: Questionable (concussion)
LB Ronnie Perkins: Questionable (ankle)
TE Tyler Kroft: Questionable (back)
CB Shaun Wade: Questionable (concussion)
FS Marcus Maye: Questionable (ankle)
RB J.J. Taylor: Questionable (groin)
WR Jeff Smith: Questionable (concussion)
DE Chase Winovich: Questionable (hamstring)
LB Hamsah Nasirildeen: Out (undisclosed)
LB Ja'Whaun Bentley: Questionable (ribs)
FS Lamarcus Joyner: Out (triceps)
DT Christian Barmore: Questionable (shoulder)
DE Carl Lawson: Out (Achilles)
OT Trent Brown: Out (calf)

Jets and Patriots betting trends

  • New York is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
  • New England is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a home favorite.
  • The Under is 4-1 in New York's last five games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Under is 4-1 in New England's last five games as a home favorite.
  • New York is 2-6 ATS in its last eight meetings with New England.
  • The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams.

Jets will fall a second time to their AFC East rival

After a 26-0 shutout by Denver in Week 3, the Jets upset the shorthanded Tennessee Titans, 27-24, in overtime and played Atlanta close in London.

New York is making strides but has a long way to go to become a legitimate threat in the league.

In the Jets' Week 5 battle against Atlanta, they gained just 80 yards in the first half, while the Falcons tallied 251 yards and 17 first downs during the same period.

New England has already figured out Wilson's weaknesses and will exploit them from the start in this matchup, just as the defense did in Week 2. 

The New York rushing attack will keep the Jets in the game, but the home team will wreak havoc against an opponent it has terrorized for the last decade.

Score prediction: Patriots 27, Jets 17

Week 7 NFL pick: Patriots -7


Jets vs. Patriots pick powered by The Quant Edge

Our predictive engine is calling for the Patriots to win outright and for the Jets to cover the spread. The final score is expected to go Over the projected total.

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