NY Giants vs. Washington Football Team: The best Daniel Jones prop bets for TNF
There was not a lot of good news to take out of the Giants' opening week defeat to the Broncos. Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay spent the summer trying to get fit and still clearly aren’t operating on all cylinders as they contributed a combined 91 yards on offense, while the defense remains a huge issue after a miserable season last year.
Then there’s QB Daniel Jones, who lost yet another costly fumble and averaged just 7.2 yards per pass attempt.
The silver lining on this otherwise horribly grey cloud was he didn’t throw an interception and completed 22 of 37 pass attempts for 267 yards and a touchdown, while also getting into the end zone himself on a run.
Next up is a short week and a trip to Washington where Jones must face another tough defense.
Fri, September 17 2021, 12:20 AM
WAS Football Team
We've examined the matchup closely and have the three best prop bets for Jones below.
Over/Under 230.5 Passing Yards
In Jones’ 14 regular season games last year he averaged just 210 passing yards per game and dropped under this line of 230.5 in more than half of them. In the game against Washington in Week 9 last year, he racked up just 212 yards, completing 23 of 34 pass attempts, and in the Week 6 game he managed just 112 yards, completing just 12 of 19 pass attempts.
The Giants came out on top both days, but Jones might not have too many fond memories as he was sacked six times and took a fair beating.
Justin Herbert of the Chargers just lit Washington up in Week 1, throwing for 334 yards and a touchdown, but that is a credit to Herbert’s ability and the quality of his receiving corps rather than a slight on Washington.
In fact, this Washington pass defense is a force to be reckoned with. In the regular season last year, they gave up just 190 passing yards per game and were ranked second in the NFL. They had 16 interceptions (ranked fifth in the NFL), and there were only five QBs who managed to throw for more than 230 yards against them.
Kenny Golladay, Sterling Shepard, and Darius Slayton give the Giants signal caller plenty of options downfield, but this offense still has a long way to go and won’t have an easy time of it on Thursday.
Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
Jones threw for multiple touchdowns in just 28% of his 14 regular season games last year. He threw multiple touchdowns on four occasions – and failed to throw a touchdown on seven! There were only four games last year where he threw for more touchdowns than interceptions.
That’s not a good outlook for the Giants, who racked up less than 18 points in half of their games last year, and were one of the league’s lowest scoring offenses. Incredibly they failed to hit double digit points in four separate matches. That didn’t look like changing last week either, as they put up just 13 on the scoreboard against the Broncos.
Washington gave up just 21 passing touchdowns last season, the second fewest in the NFL, and they also had the fourth ranked defense in the league when it came to red zone TDs. Their opponents scored a TD just 53% of the time they got to the red zone, and that does not bode well for Jones.
The betting reflects it, but back the Under here with confidence.
Over/Under 19.5 Rushing Yards
Considering all the above, this may be a game where Jones is going to have to run to get out of trouble. He took off six times last week against Denver and accumulated 27 yards, and it would be no surprise to see a similar stat line on Thursday.
Through the first 10 weeks of last season Jones would’ve beaten this line eight times. He had two very different games against Washington last year, running seven times for 74 yards in Week 6, and then running six times for just four yards in Week 9. The latter is the anomaly as Jones went for an average of 7.6 yards per attempt during last season before a hamstring injury, and took off on average four times per game.
Daniel Jones averaged 7.6 yards per carry last season before he hurt his hamstring vs. the Bengals in week 12.— Giants Alliance (@GiantsAlliance) September 9, 2021
At the time, Jones had the best YPC average in NFL history among players with 75 or more rushing attempts.
Here are some of Daniel Jones' 2020 rushing highlights: pic.twitter.com/3KHKrW3v31
The Washington run defense gave up just 3.1 yards per attempt against the Chargers last week, but they are average against the ground game compared to through the air. Nothing is going to be easy for the Giants in this contest, but Jones can get some joy with his legs.