Ravens vs Bills: The best betting props for the NFL Divisional Round
Two quarterbacks from the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft class will share the stage in Saturday’s AFC Divisional Round clash between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills.
After the disappointment of losing in this round as favorites a year ago, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has a chance at redemption by leading an underdog Baltimore team past quarterback Josh Allen and the Bills, with a berth in the AFC Championship game at stake.
It promises to be an entertaining showdown, with each quarterback at the forefront. Here are the three best betting props for Ravens vs. Bills.
Sun, January 17 2021, 1:15 AM
Any defense facing the Ravens has to account for Lamar Jackson, who can suddenly turn a quarterback scramble into a massive gain.
Jackson ran 16 times against Tennessee last week, and put up 136 yards on the ground. He also scored a touchdown, his eighth rushing score of the season, including the playoffs.
Jackson has the best odds to score an anytime touchdown on Saturday, and his ability to run the ball justifies that. When it comes to containing mobile quarterbacks, the Bills have also had their struggles.
Buffalo gave up 327 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks in the regular season. That number of touchdowns was tied for the second highest total in the league, and against a quarterback that shows no hesitation to run the ball, that makes Lamar Jackson scoring an anytime touchdown an intriguing option.
Josh Allen passing yards
Josh Allen had a big day against the Indianapolis Colts in the Wild Card round, throwing for 324 yards at home in a solid win for Buffalo.
In his third season as the Bills quarterback, Allen has enjoyed a breakout year with personal career highs in completions, attempts, completion percentage, yards, touchdowns – the list goes on and on. Allen has helped this Buffalo offense become one of the best in the NFL, particularly through the air.
The Ravens, however, have had Allen’s number in two previous outings, dating back to Allen’s rookie season in 2018.
In his last game against Baltimore, back on Dec. 8, 2019, Allen threw for 146 yards. He has thrown for just 220 yards (23 completions on 54 attempts) in two games against the Ravens. He has certainly developed into a better quarterback, year over year, but the Ravens might be able to hold Buffalo’s passing game in check.
Baltimore allowed the sixth fewest pass yards in the regular season, and is a week removed from holding the Titans almost completely in check, including just 165 passing yards given up.
Keep an eye on the weather.
Snow and wind are in the forecast, which could complicate things for Buffalo’s passing game. With a total greater than 300 yards, it might be difficult to hit the Over this week.
J.K. Dobbins rushing yards
The Ravens love to run the football. They led the league in rushing this season with more than 3,000 total yards and an average of 5.5 yards per carry.
A key factor was the emergence of rookie running back J.K. Dobbins.
Dobbins has scored in seven consecutive games going into Saturday, and averaged six yards per carry in this run-heavy offense. Meanwhile, the Bills have given up 4.6 yards per carry.
The total for J.K. Dobbins rushing yards is 57.5 yards this week. The Over for this total would’ve hit in five of the last seven games, as Dobbins has seen his role expand significantly from the beginning of the season.
In a bid to keep Buffalo's offense off the field, the Ravens may lean even more on the run, and perhaps that gives Dobbins a slight increase in touches. With a game plan focused on the run, there is a shot here for the Over to hit on Saturday.