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The best Tom Brady passing props for Super Bowl LV

Profile Picture: Jeremy Jones

February 3rd, 2021

The G.O.A.T. is ready for his 10th Super Bowl appearance Sunday!

Tom Brady is 6-3 in nine Super Bowl appearances, but this time, he will get to play host, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be at home in Super Bowl LV against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Sun, February 7 2021, 11:30 PM

TB Buccaneers

Moneyline

+143

Spread

+3.5

Total

O 56

KC Chiefs

Moneyline

-175

Spread

-3.5

Total

U 56

Let's gear up for the big game by analyzing the top three Brady passing props for Super Bowl LV.

Tom Brady passing yards

Brady has been boom or bust since the midway point of the 2020 season. Since Week 9, he has had six games of more than 340 passing yards, but four games with less than 217.

The number for this prop sits at 295.5 passing yards.

Brady averaged 289.1 passing yards per game in his 19 games this season, but he had several games far away from this number on both sides.

In Week 12 against Kansas City, the Bucs fell behind early and had to throw their way back into the game. Brady finished with 345 passing yards.

While I do not believe the Bucs will be trailing big at any point, I believe Tampa will need to score to stay on par with Patrick Mahomes and the quick-strike Kansas City offense.

Brady will have another big game in "the big game" and go Over this number.

Pick: Over 295.5 yards


Tom Brady passing touchdowns

If you look past the slugfest of Super Bowl LIII, Brady has nine passing touchdowns in his prior three Super Bowl appearances. He has 18 passing touchdowns in his nine Super Bowls.

In Week 12, Brady threw for three touchdowns against these Chiefs in a 27-24 defeat, and I believe the Super Bowl will feature even more scoring.

Brady has averaged 2.5 passing touchdowns per game this season, and he had at least two passing touchdowns in every game since a Week 9 blowout loss to the New Orleans Saints.

You can pick your number here, and I'll stick with 2.5. I like the value on the Over here.

Pick: Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+125)


To record 300 or more passing yards and a win

Player prop parlays are a fun way to try to hit big, and this one is as good as gold. We already talked about Brady going past the 300-yard passing mark, so this wager is really all about a Buccaneers win.

The game is going to be close, and the Chiefs are rightly favored. However, betting against Brady, with this much talent around him and a great defense, is a dangerous game.

You can get the Bucs at incredible odds here, because it is extremely unlikely Tampa Bay will win without Brady throwing for big numbers.

Pick: Tom Brady - Yes (+325)

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