ADVERTISEMENT

Homenfl

Undefeated Cardinals are still being undervalued by bettors

Profile Picture: Andrew Champagne

October 20th, 2021

There’s an oddity in National Football League futures wagering that I simply cannot ignore. It involves two NFC West teams and an odds flip that, on the surface, doesn’t seem to make much sense.

Cardinals are odds-on favorite to win NFC West

In divisional futures, the Arizona Cardinals are a heavy favorite. After a 6-0 start that has included five offensive explosions of at least 31 points, the Cards are -125 to win the NFC West. Behind them are the LA Rams, who are +140. Remember those numbers, because it’s going to get weird soon.

NFC West 2021/2022

Sun, January 9 2022, 9:25 PM

Arizona Cardinals

-125

Los Angeles Rams

+140

San Francisco 49ers

+1100

Seattle Seahawks

+3300

Rams are ahead of Cardinals on Super Bowl odds board

In Super Bowl betting, the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are co-favorites at +550, with the Kansas City Chiefs close behind at +700. The fourth choice, however, is not the Cardinals, but the Rams, who sit at +900. The Ravens are +1000, and the Cardinals are currently perched at +1100, which makes them the sixth choice to win it all.

NFL Championship 2021/2022

Sun, February 13 2022, 11:28 PM

Buffalo Bills

+550

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+550

Kansas City Chiefs

+700

Los Angeles Rams

+900

Baltimore Ravens

+1000

Arizona Cardinals

+1100

Dallas Cowboys

+1200

Green Bay Packers

+1200

Cleveland Browns

+2000

Los Angeles Chargers

+2000

This baffles me. If bettors think the Cardinals can beat the Rams in the race for a division title, why don’t they think they can do the same in the playoffs, especially with home-field advantage locked down?

This isn’t an indictment on the Rams, or any other team in the NFC. The Rams seem revitalized on offense behind new quarterback Matthew Stafford, and a deep playoff run wouldn’t be a surprise.

Arizona presents excellent value to bettors

My observation is strictly mathematical: If you think the 6-0 Cardinals are for real, you can get them as the sixth choice right now, behind a team in their division they’ve already beaten. Add in that Arizona will be heavy favorites in three of their next four games and could conceivably top the Packers, and I don’t think you’ll want to wait.

If you like the Cards, I’d advise you to wager now before this anomaly disappears from the board.

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

Loading...