Week 12 Sunday Night Football Betting - Huge NFC North Matchup

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D.S. Williamson

November 25th, 2018

The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers resume their rivalry in a must-win scenario during NFL Week 12 Sunday Night Football betting with a lot at stake for both teams. Minnesota rallied but failed to beat the Bears in Week 11, dropping them to 5-4-1, setting them back a game behind of the top spot in the NFC North. Ever since their bye week, the Packers have been awful. Green Bay’s lost 3 of their last 4. Green Bay is suddenly at 4-5-1 and in desperate need for a victory to just stay in the wildcard chase.

Will Green Bay or Minnesota come up huge in this playoff implications battle?

NFL WEEK 12 SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BETTING Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Sunday, November 25th – U.S. Bank Stadium – 8:20pm ET Odds: Vikings -3.5 (47.5)

With a Win, Packers Can Make Playoffs

Every game from here on out is a key one, but it’s hard to downplay how important it is for Green Bay to beat Minnesota in Week 12. After this game, Green Bay has a somewhat soft schedule with Arizona, Atlanta, Chicago, NYJ and Detroit left on the docket. They probably won't beat the Bears in Week 15, but every other game puts is a chance to inch closer to a wild card spot.

A loss sends Green Bay to 4-6-1. The Packers can’t hope to upset the division leader on the road, which means if they end up 8-7-1, they won’t make the playoffs. If Green Bay beats Minnesota, loses to Chicago, and beats the rest of their opponents from now until the end of the regular season, they’ll end up 9-6-1. That should be good enough for a playoff berth.

That's much easier said than done. They're already underdogs against a 3.5 points spread in Week 12 Sunday Night Football betting and have looked completely out of sorts amid turmoil surrounding the job security of Mike McCarthy. The coach's relationship with Aaron Rodgers is also under heavy scrutiny. A trip away from the confines of Lambeau doesn't bode well either as the Packers are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road tests.

Vikings Can’t Fall Further Behind Chicago

This game’s important for the Minnesota Vikings because they believe they can still win the division. The Vikings have some tough games ahead: at New England, at Seattle, at Detroit, and they also must battle the Bears again. Minnesota’s not out of it and they know that the division title is at stake in this one. A loss puts them just out of arm's reach, while beating Green Bay will most certainly buoy their hopes.

The problems for Minnesota have been chemistry based. Kirk Cousins has looked completely pedestrian over the last few weeks, throwing four total picks in his last three games. Against the Bears, Cousins was completely out of sorts. Fortunately, the Packers are not the Bears so people shouldn't be selling stock on Cousins just yet. If there's any hope for the Vikings to sail through to victory, it's in the hands of Delvin Cook who managed just 12 yards on 7 carries versus Chicago. The Packers carry one of the worst run defenses in the league.

Get Cook rolling, and Minnesota has a definitive chance to attack this Week 12 Sunday Night Football betting matchup with balance.

Week 12 Sunday Night Football Betting Analysis

The line’s fallen a full point from Vikings -4.5 to -3.5. Even though betting has gone towards the dog, most NFL handicappers still prefer to lay the points. It doesn’t make much sense to me.

I wish I could go to stats, but both squads boast solid quarterbacks, decent coaching, and underperforming defenses. Stats are pretty much useless in this matchup.

Although stats don’t tell us much, the trends indicate that the Vikings are a lock. Green Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 on the road, 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 in November, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus a division rival. The Vikings are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 in Week 12 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in November.

Even the head-to-head trends favor Minnesota. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 2 meetings and Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 in Minnesota.

The Vikings win and cover in a pivotal divisional matchup, and put Green Bay in to another week of despair.

Week 12 Sunday Night Football Betting Free Pick: Vikings -3.5