Week 7 Thursday Night Football Betting Preview

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D.S. Williamson

October 17th, 2018

Denver travels to the Valley of the Desert to battle the Cardinals in a Thursday night matchup that’s garnered plenty of betting attention. Broncos opened as a -1.5 road favorites. The line’s jumped a full point to Denver -2.5. Can Arizona win their second straight? Or, will Denver ground the Cardinals? Check out odds, analysis, and a free pick for Denver at Arizona.

NFL WEEK 7 THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BETTING Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals Thursday, Oct. 18 – State Farm Stadium – 8:20pm ET Odds: Broncos -2.5 (41)

Broncos Offense vs Cardinals Defense During the offseason, John Elway made a play for Kirk Cousins. After Cousins spurned Denver, Elway handed a contract to Case Keenum. Turns out, Keenum was a one-season wonder because he’s been as bad as any non-rookie quarterback in the league.

Keenum’s thrown more interceptions than touchdowns, yielding an 7:8 turnover ratio. It’s so bad that he’s thrown at least one pick in every game this season. He faces a defense on Sunday that has 18 sacks, as many as the Bears, which means his interceptions streak won’t end.

Edge: Cardinals  

Cardinals Offense vs Broncos Defense Arizona ranks 32nd in total yards, 32nd in rushing yards, and 31st in passing yards and points scored. Their Achilles heel, 21.9% on third downs, makes them an even harder offense to back.

Broncos are worst at stopping the run, but it’s a fantasy to think Arizona takes advantage. Rookie Josh Rosen won’t beat Denver’s secondary, handing the edge to the Broncos. The evolution of Bradley Chubb, their star rookie on the defensive line, puts the Broncos in a stronger position for the head-to-head.

The only value for the Cardinals comes in the form of David Johnson, their star running back who has yet to really break out this season.

Edge: Broncos

Week 7 Thursday Night Football Betting Analysis and ATS Prediction Handicapping this game was tough because neither team can score while both have success stopping opponents from finding the endzone. The UNDER should be the play, but there's always a chance that the defense for either team will implode at any given moment. I wouldn't touch the total.

Trends support Cardinals covering. Arizona’s 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Denver’s 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus a losing record team, and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games.

A healthy dose of David Johnson should lead to Arizona’s second win straight up. There's just more momentum here, and Denver's a tough team to back historically when traveling.

Week 7 Thursday Night Football Betting Free Pick: Cardinals moneyline