NHL Wednesday Free Picks - Can Flames Stay Hot Against Vegas Knights?

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D.S. Williamson

March 6th, 2019

The NHL has stacked up four juicy matchups tonight!

The top game has Western Conference powers Calgary and Vegas throwing down in Sin City. Check out analysis for that matchup along with all of the other great NHL action on Wednesday night.

[Wednesday, March 6]

Washington Capitals -130 at Philadelphia Flyers +110 (7:30 pm ET)

The Capitals are on fire heading into their game with Philadelphia. Washington not only beat the Flyers 5-3 in the last head-to-head, but they’re on a 4-game straight up win streak. The Caps have gone 6-1 SU in their last 7.

The trends give this match to Philadelphia, though. The Flyers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 home games, 16-5 SU in their last 21 games overall, and 8-3 SU in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The home team is 5-1 SU in the last 6 meetings. Philadelphia gets the nod.

NHL Free Pick: Flyers +110

Toronto Maple Leafs -190 at Vancouver Canucks +165 (9:00pm ET)

Toronto’s 5-1 SU in their last 6. No win was as impressive as Toronto’s last, a 6-2 victory over the Calgary Flames on the road. The Leafs dominated the Canucks 5-0 in the last matchup, meaning their west coast swing should continue with another win on March 6.

Nothing in the trends should talk us off Toronto. Vancouver is an icy 1-6 SU in their last 7 overall, 0-5 SU in their last 5 as an underdog, 0-4 SU in their last 4 versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Toronto is 5-0 SU in their last 5 after a day of rest and 5-1 SU in their last 6 overall. They’re also a great 20-6 SU in their last 26 versus a team from the Pacific Division. The Maple Leafs rock Vancouver with a puck line win.

NHL Free Pick: Maple Leafs -190

St. Louis Blues -180 at Anaheim Ducks +160 (10:00pm ET)

St. Louis is going off as a massive road favorite when they battle the awful Anaheim Ducks on Wednesday night. The trends point to the Blues dominating: 6-1 SU in their last 7 versus a team with a losing record, 9-2 SU in their last 11 games as a favorite, and 13-3 SU in their last 16 games when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

But, Anaheim’s not without a shot. The Ducks are 21-5-1 SU in the last 27 meetings at home. Anaheim also heads into this one on a 2-game win streak while the Blues have lost their last couple of matches and are 1-3 SU in their last 4. Anaheim gets the call.

NHL Free Pick: Ducks +160

Calgary Flames +125 at Vegas Golden Knights -145 (10:30pm ET)

Wednesday’s top matchup features two of the best teams in the Pacific. Calgary’s got 89 points while Vegas sits on 77. Vegas might be catching the Flames at the perfect time.

The Golden Knights have been solid. They ride a nice 4-match straight up win streak into this battle. They’ve outscored their last couple of opponents, Anaheim and Vancouver, a combined 6-0. Plus, Calgary’s on an 0-2 SU streak after dropping games 2-4 to Minnesota and 2-6 to Toronto.

But, Calgary gets back on the road where they’re a great 21-11-0-2 overall. It’s difficult to see the Flames losing 3 in a row. Not only that, Calgary is 4-0 SU in their last 4 road games, 5-1 SU in their last 6 on a Wednesday, and 7-2 SU in their last 9 overall. Calgary wins at sweet road underdog odds.

NHL Free Pick: Flames +125

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