Pick 6 Preview: Del Mar $619,482 Carryover - August 3, 2013
The pick-6 was not hit for the second consecutive day at Del Mar creating a massive carryover pool of over $619,000. It's quite possible with the added money on Saturday that the pool reach over $1.5-million and could even reach the $2-million mark. Definitely a pick-6 to play.
The sequence starts in race five with allowance horses going one mile on the main polytrack. Rousing Sermon is the 5-2 morning line favorite, but is winless in three starts at Del Mar and caught a tough field of horses. American Act and Tones are the pace of the race with Mega Heat pushing the pace early. Holding Glory is a Brazilian-bred making his U.S. debut for a trainer that can get them ready to roll from South America. Half Strike, You Know I Know and Congenial have run races in the past that would be good enough to win.
Race six is another allowance race, this time at one mile on the turf. Heart Stealer is the filly to beat, but will break from post ten in the field of ten and will try to buck the turf course speed bias. The one thing she may have going for her is that the rails are at 14 feet so if she can get an easy lead early, it may be tough to run her down late. Others to consider are English Crossing, Lady's Plan, Warren's Flasher and Cavalletta.
Eddies Curl is the morning line favorite for race seven off of her second place finish in the CTBA stakes over the track on July 19. She probably should have been disqualified, but nevertheless she has to be on the ticket. Swissarella, Stole a Kiss and Sunday Rules are the upsetters.
Next up is the Grade 1 Clement L. Hirsch and we touched on that in this week's Player's Edge so let's move on to race nine, a six and one-half furlong sprint for $16,000 claimers that have never won two races.
The ninth may be one of the hardest races to handicap at Del Mar this summer. Dealing with non-winners of two is never easy. These horses just don't want to win. Just Irish drops in class, but finished fourth at the level two back. Blinkers are on, but can't be trusted. Localsucess may be the speed from post two or Talk the Walk could be if he breaks well from the rail. Chibita fits as does I'll Run the Show and Eyesablazin, but the long shot play is 20-1 morning line Blue Collar Boy. The four-year-old California-bred gelding goes first off the claim for Peter Eurton and was bet well in his race last month. That race was his first since November 2011.
The finale is an allowance race on the turf and three horses should take the action. Small pocket plays should single Ethnic Dance. The son of Tribal Rule was visually impressive in his maiden breaker and can either set the pace or sit just off Pulpits Express. If those two go head to head early, know Christopher Street late.
Could we get a third carryover into Sunday? There will be plenty of money out there, but that looks like a good possibility.
First post where the turf meets the surf is 5:05 pm ET with race five off at 7:10.