ADVERTISEMENT

Homeracing

2017 Preakness BRIS Speed Rating Report

Profile Picture: James Scully

May 15th, 2017

Always Dreaming is one of two horses in the projected Preakness field to post a triple-digit BRIS Speed Rating in the last start, registering a 100 for his 2 ¾-length Kentucky Derby triumph.

As covered in the final Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report, Always Dreaming was tied for the second-best last-out figure (102) with Irish War Cry, who wound up finishing 10th at Churchill Downs. Hence topped all runners with a 103 BRIS Speed Rating from his final prep, the Sunland Derby (G3), but did not run back to the performance as he checked in 11th.

Eleven sophomores are considered probable for the 142nd running of the $1.5 million Preakness.

With the exception of European invader Lancaster Bomber (no Speed Ratings for overseas races), let’s take a look at the last three BRIS Speed Ratings for the prospective field (alphabetical order):

HORSE

 

RACE

 

BRIS SPEED

ALWAYS DREAMING

 

Kentucky Derby

 

100

 

 

Florida Derby

 

102

 

 

Allowance Race

 

84

 

 

 

 

 

CLASSIC EMPIRE

 

Kentucky Derby

 

91

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

96

 

 

Holy Bull

 

92

 

 

 

 

 

CLOUD COMPUTING

 

Wood Memorial

 

94

 

 

Gotham

 

100

 

 

Maiden Race

 

90

 

 

 

 

 

CONQUEST MO MONEY

 

Arkansas Derby

 

95

 

 

Sunland Derby

 

99

 

 

Mine That Bird Derby

 

88

 

 

 

 

 

GUNNEVERA

 

Kentucky Derby

 

86

 

 

Florida Derby

 

95

 

 

Fountain of Youth

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

HENCE

 

Kentucky Derby

 

80

 

 

Sunland Derby

 

103

 

 

Southwest

 

86

 

 

 

 

 

LOOKIN AT LEE

 

Kentucky Derby

 

97

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

94

 

 

Rebel

 

91

 

 

 

 

 

MULTIPLIER

 

Illinois Derby

 

104

 

 

Maiden Race

 

93

 

 

Maiden Race

 

86

 

 

 

 

 

SENIOR INVESTMENT

 

Lexington

 

93

 

 

Louisiana Derby

 

93

 

 

Allowance Race

 

85

 

 

 

 

 

TERM OF ART

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

92

 

 

San Felipe

 

92

 

 

Robert B. Lewis

 

88

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis

Multiplier owns the top last-out BRIS Speed Rating (104) but is a candidate for a regression given the 11-point increase for his hard-fought Illinois Derby (G3) win. The improving colt is also facing a major class check.

Always Dreaming did not regress after posting an 18-point jump in the Florida Derby two starts back. He’s captured four straight races by open lengths and given the relative ease of victory each time, the Todd Pletcher-trained colt may still have more to offer from a BRIS Speed Rating perspective if seriously tested.

It’s far from an imposing group with most of the Preakness runners showing BRIS Speed Ratings in the low-to-mid 90s.

Hence rates as a bounce-back candidate for Steve Asmussen, who pulled off a similar training feat last year with Creator. After surprising in the Arkansas Derby, Creator finished up the track in the Kentucky Derby but was able to rebound at 16-1 in the Belmont Stakes.

BRIS Speed Ratings for last 20 Preakness Winners (* denotes Kentucky Derby winner):

HORSE

 

RACE

 

BRIS SPEED

EXAGGERATOR (2016)

 

Kentucky Derby

 

103

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

102

 

 

San Felipe

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

*AMERICAN PHAROAH

 

Kentucky Derby

 

100

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

102

 

 

Rebel

 

99

 

 

 

 

 

*CALIFORNIA CHROME

 

Kentucky Derby

 

103

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

106

 

 

San Felipe

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

OXBOW

 

Kentucky Derby

 

98

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

90

 

 

Rebel

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

*I’LL HAVE ANOTHER

 

Kentucky Derby

 

108

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

98

 

 

Robert B. Lewis

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

SHACKLEFORD

 

Kentucky Derby

 

101

 

 

Florida Derby

 

101

 

 

Fountain of Youth

 

77

 

 

 

 

 

LOOKIN AT LUCKY

 

Kentucky Derby

 

97

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

92

 

 

Rebel

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

RACHEL ALEXANDRA

 

Kentucky Oaks

 

111

 

 

Fantasy

 

104

 

 

Fair Grounds Oaks

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

*BIG BROWN

 

Kentucky Derby

 

111

 

 

Florida Derby

 

110

 

 

Allowance Race

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

CURLIN

 

Kentucky Derby

 

99

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

102

 

 

Rebel

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

BERNARDINI

 

Withers

 

110

 

 

Maiden Race

 

97

 

 

Maiden Race

 

87

 

 

 

 

 

AFLEET ALEX

 

Kentucky Derby

 

99

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

107

 

 

Rebel

 

86

 

 

 

 

 

*SMARTY JONES

 

Kentucky Derby

 

106

 

 

Arkansas Derby

 

105

 

 

Rebel

 

109

 

 

 

 

 

*FUNNY CIDE

 

Kentucky Derby

 

108

 

 

Wood Memorial

 

111

 

 

Louisiana Derby

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

*WAR EMBLEM

 

Kentucky Derby

 

113

 

 

Illinois Derby

 

109

 

 

Allowance Race

 

105

 

 

 

 

 

POINT GIVEN

 

Kentucky Derby

 

97

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

109

 

 

San Felipe

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

RED BULLET

 

Wood Memorial

 

105

 

 

Gotham

 

101

 

 

Allowance Race

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

*CHARISMATIC

 

Kentucky Derby

 

105

 

 

Lexington

 

104

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

94

 

 

 

 

 

*REAL QUIET

 

Kentucky Derby

 

101

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

107

 

 

San Felipe

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

*SILVER CHARM

 

Kentucky Derby

 

107

 

 

Santa Anita Derby

 

102

 

 

San Felipe

 

98

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis

Every previous Preakness winner earned at least a 100 BRIS Speed Rating in one of their last three starts. And only five runners meet the criteria this year:

Always Dreaming
Cloud Computing
Gunnevera
Hence
Multiplier

Always Dreaming is the only member of the 2017 Preakness field with multiple triple-digit numbers from the last three starts, a common characteristic for past winners (16 of the last 20).

Brisnet.com has free PPs for the prospective Preakness field. Check out the 2017 Preakness Contenders Page and Preakness Pedigree Fun Facts as well at the TwinSpires Blog

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

Loading...