Assiniboia Downs Pick 4 for Tuesday, June 21

Profile Picture: Ashley Anderson

June 21st, 2022

Assiniboia Downs is back with another seven-race card for Tuesday, with a $40,000 pool guarantee for their Pick 4, beginning in Race 4, at 10:05 p.m. ET.

Below we analyze Races 4 through 7 and provide a $36 Pick 4 ticket to play at the Winnipeg track.

Race 4: 5 1/2 furlongs, $5,000 claiming, fillies and mares three years old and up

#1 Sizzle N Susie (7-5) lost by a half-length last out in a $5,000 claimer at Assiniboia on June 7. The five-year-old mare beat rival #2 True Kate (9-5) by three-quarters of a length and #5 Divine Ride (5-1) by another 1 1/2 lengths.

Sizzle N Susie's conditioner, Jerry Gourneau, is a 17% winner in claiming races and a 16% winner with sprints. We'll play the favorite with intriguing longshot #4 Just for Charlotte (20-1), who makes her first start for trainer Tom Gardipy Jr., a 16% winner at the claiming level and an 18% winner with horses coming off a long layoff.

The four-year-old filly's sharp three-furlong workout in :36 on June 16 adds to the appeal.

Race 5: 5 1/2 furlongs, $5,000 maiden claiming, fillies and mares three years old and up

#7 No Surprise (7-5) opens as a heavy favorite for Gourneau, a 20% winner when moving from the maiden to maiden claiming level. The three-year-old filly has never finished in the money in three career starts and came home seventh in a maiden special weight at this track on May 31. The dark bay's early speed could help her earn her first trip to the winner's circle, but her career-best 41 Brisnet Speed figure is well below the par winning figure for Tuesday's conditions.

Let's include first-time starter #1 Shecky Boo (6-1) for hot trainer Carl Anderson (20% winner this meet) and #4 Spats (4-1), who drops in class in his second career start for Elton Dickey.

Race 6: 6 furlongs, allowance optional claiming, three-year-olds and up

#3 Mark Ye Well (9-5) is a beatable favorite who finished sixth last out in a five-furlong optional claimer at this track on June 1. The nine-year-old gelding's 72 Brisnet figure pales in comparison to #2 Dazzl'n Mischief's (6-1) 82 at the same distance in a 5 1/2-length victory at Assiniboia on June 7. The seven-year-old gelding was claimed by trainer Shelley Brown (14% winner this meet) in that race and will ride under hot jockey Renaldo Cumberbatch (18% winner).

#7 Yola (3-1) is another intriguing rival for Wendy Anderson, an 18% winner in allowance races. With Leonel Camacho-Flores (27% winner this meet) picking up the mount, Yola can get back to the winner's circle for the first time since posting a 92 Brisnet figure three back in a 6 1/2-furlong sprint on Woodbine's all-weather track.

Let's also take a chance with #8 Camino de Estrella (4-1) for trainer Steve Keplin Jr., a 50% winner with horses beaten as the favorite last out.

Race 7: 6 furlongs, Free Press S., three-year-olds and up

The Free Press Stakes will conclude the evening with a six-furlong sprint for three-year-olds and upward. #3 Real Grace (5-2) lost by a neck to #9 Market King (4-1) and beat #6 Mr. Dazzle (10-1) by three-quarters of a length last out in the five-furlong Nifty Overnight S. The five-year-old is eligible to improve in his second start off a layoff for Shelley Brown and is 10 4-1-2 for his career at Assiniboia Downs.

We'll also back Market King in his rematch with Real Grace. Trainer Jared Brown is a 21% winner in non-graded stakes races, and hot jockey Jorge Carreno (10 4-1-1 the last seven days) will retain the mount.

$1 Pick 4 ticket: 1,4 / 1,4,7 / 2,7,8 / 3,9 ($36)