Emerald Downs track update: July 20, 2021
Emerald Downs is two months into its summer meet, with about two months remaining, which includes the Longacres Mile (G3) next month.
The halfway point is a great time to check in on the meet.
It is a tight race at the top of the Emerald Downs jockey standings.
Alex Cruz leads the way, with 39 victories from 170 starts (23%), two wins clear of Julien Couton (37 wins, 162 starts, 23%) and five ahead of Juan Gutierrez (34 wins, 141 starts, 24%). They are the three clear leaders in the colony. No one else has more than 13 victories.
Alex Cruz extends his streak to 46. pic.twitter.com/UOIHvkK61r— Emerald Downs (@EmeraldDowns) July 18, 2021
Looking for price angles?
Though most of the races at Emerald are sprints, when you see Gutierrez in a route race, take a good, long look at his horse. He has won seven of his 16 two-turn starts (44%). Not only does that make him the clear leader in route wins, but he has offered bettors a healthy +108% ROI in those races.
Another jockey to watch for a price at Emerald is Heribert Martinez. Looking at horses priced at 8-1 or better, Martinez has four wins from 39 starts, but the winners have paid enough to give him a +59% ROI. That implies high variance, but he is getting enough home to be profitable.
Joe Toye has had a sparkling summer, with a meet-leading 16 wins from only 49 starts (33%). He has four more than Vince Gibson (12 wins, 64 starts, 19%) and Frank Lucarelli (12 wins, 77 starts, 16%), with Ari Herbertson (11 wins, 25 starts, 44%) the only other trainer in double digits. Toye (+19%) and Herbertson (+18%) also have positive ROIs at the meet.
Just as with jockeys, look toward routes for price trainer angles. Tim McCanna is having a solid meet in general, with eight wins from just 20 starts (40%), but he has three wins from four starts in route races, with a +190% ROI. Jeff Metz is the co-leading trainer in route wins. Though his three have come in 11 starts (27%), he still has a positive flat-bet return (46%).
Mike Man's Gold (WA)— Emerald Downs (@EmeraldDowns) June 8, 2021
11-yr-old, 25 EmD victories
Jockeys - 9-Matias, 9-Bowen, 4-Wales, 2-Radke 1-Mawing
Trainers - 14-Toye, 9-D. Martinez 2-Metz
Has won at least 1⃣ race every year at EmD from age 2! That's 10 straight year.
What determination for #25! pic.twitter.com/3w4daIhHpA
At a Glance
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