Homeracing

Expecting big prices on Wednesday, November 16, at Churchill Downs

Profile Picture: Ed DeRosa

November 16th, 2016

Only two weeks of live racing remain at Churchill Downs, which means just 10 racing dates of dirt and turf racing remain until the action shifts to Turfway Park's Polytrack for four months. Dirt and turf will not return until April 2017 at Keeneland.

CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE
Avg. Winning Odds: 5.17 - 1
Favorite Win%: 35%, Favorite Itm%: 72%
EXOTICS PAYOFF
Exacta 86.88
Daily Double 89.58
Trifecta 579.65
Pick 3 712.19
Superfecta 4,600.67
Pick 4 5,995.80
Pick 5 37,952.15
Pick 6 Jackpot 58,217.69
Super High Five 8,889.97
   

The prices have been decent during the current meeting, but I expect Wednesday's 10-race card that features carryovers in both Single 6 jackpot ($69,852) and Super High 5 ($11,402) to produce higher than average payouts in all wagers. There are full fields and seemingly very few horses to really hang your hat on. I.e. I'll be an unabashed caveman player today, using my only my "A" column for most multi-race plays and peppering in the Bs at generous odds.

TRACK BIAS MEET(09/16 - 11/13)
Distance #
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
 
6.0fDirt 58 21% E/P Rail/Ins  
6.5fDirt 21 29% E/P Rail  
1 MileDirt 35 23% S Rail/Ins  
1 1/16mDirt 38 13% E/P Outside  
Turf Sprint 3 67% E Middle  
Turf Routes 31 6% P Rail/Ins  
TRACK BIAS WEEK(11/07 - 11/13)
Distance #
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
 
6.0fDirt 14 14% E/P Rail/Ins  
6.5fDirt 7 14% S Rail/Ins  
1 MileDirt 6 33% S Rail/Ins  
1 1/16mDirt 9 22% E/P Rail  
Turf Sprint 1 100% E Middle  
Turf Routes 11 18% E Outside  
Who's HOT, Who's NOT
 
HOT TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Winning
Favorites
'15-' 16
Win%
Arnold, II George R. 10 5 1 2 7.53 3 13%
Kenneally Eddie 14 5 1 1 4.82 3 15%
Thomas Gary A. 6 3 0 0 14.27 0 12%
Cox John E. 2 2 0 0 0.90 2 19%
Hiles Rick 4 2 0 0 7.73 2 16%
Kardoush Charles 4 2 0 0 4.30 2 19%
Stewart Dallas 4 2 1 0 8.85 1 15%
Lovell Michelle 5 2 0 0 12.82 0 15%
McGee Paul J. 5 2 1 0 4.76 1 11%
Kordenbrock Matt 6 2 0 0 7.43 0 17%
 
HOT JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Winning
Favorites
'15-' 16
Win%
Leparoux Julien R. 25 8 3 2 6.28 4 17%
Osorio Didiel A. 12 3 0 0 19.70 1 11%
 
COLD TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Beaten
Favorites
'15-' 16
Win%
 
COLD JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Beaten
Favorites
'15-' 16
Win%
Kennedy Ty 12 0 1 0 24.29 1 10%
Burke Julie 10 0 0 3 46.69 0 9%
Jimenez Albin 10 0 0 1 52.15 0 19%
St. Julien Marlon 10 0 2 1 27.84 0 6%

 

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