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Homeracing

Group 1 Double Headlines $2,000 Lucky 7 Promotion

Profile Picture: Ed DeRosa

Ed DeRosa

March 13th, 2014

Nearly $1-million will be on the line among the two Group 1 races on Saturday in Australia, and another $2,000 is up for grabs at TwinSpires.com during week two of its Lucky 7s promotion.

Playing Lucky 7s requires a trio of $7 bets on each of the Group 1 races with win, place, show, and exacta the available pools. The highest ROI wins $667, those with an ROI of better than 210% win/share $666, and those with an ROI of better than 70% win/share $666. So with $42 to wager over the two races ($21/each), the magic number for a prize is $71.40.

And everyone is eligible to earn 7x TSC Elite points on every dollar wagered Friday night/Saturday morning on Australian racing.

The Group 1 double kicks off with the Royal Randwick Guineas at 1:47 a.m. EDT early Saturday morning, and the pick here is Criterion remaining among his generation while Shamus Award, who beat him last out, tried older last week in the Darley Australian Cup.

Criterion is a frequent bridesmaid, having finishing second at this level twice in the past six months, but the Sebring colt seems well-suited to the mile whereas I’m not sure that’s the case with horses like El Roca and Bull Point—both by Fastnet Rock and shorter prices.

Lucky 7s strategy: $7 to win three times on #3 Criterion (your bet must be for $7 to qualify, so betting $21 to win with one wager doesn’t work).

Pari-mutuel wagering strategy: Bet Criterion across the board at odds of 4-to-1 or better.

The Guinness Canterbury Stakes caps the Lucky 7s action with a 2:22 a.m. EDT post, and some older males entice at bigger prices versus the favored mares of Appearance and Red Tracer and three-year-old colt Zoustar.

Sacred Falls won a Group 1 last year going a mile over heavy ground, and more recently has been close to last week’s Chipping Norton Stakes winner Boban. Sacred Falls has two trials as a four-year-old going short but seems better-suited to longer distances and is worth a look at 20-to-1.

Lucky 7s strategy: $7 across the board on #2 Sacred Falls.

Pari-mutuel wagering strategy: Bet Sacred Falls across the board at 10-to-1 or better and in an exacta key box with #s 6, 8, 9

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