Homeracing

Harness Weekly Update: Sires-Stakes Success Stream

Profile Picture: Frank Cotolo

October 17th, 2021

The TwinSpires Harness Blog Weekly Update covers our successes and failures from selected features and the H2W (horses-to-watch list, now including Hoosier spin-offs).

Thursday, Oct. 14

The Mohawk Miles pair included two races won by two public choices. Our pair of outside contenders included a third by Aint He Special ($3.00) and a galloping failure, Stormont Mabel (52-1), eliminated with a break.

Friday, Oct. 15

Indiana Sires Stakes Super Final action at Hoosier calls for a headline about the frosh-colt pace. For two weeks before the event, we supported Dalby Hanover, and both times he failed. In the frosh-colt pace final, he benefited from a breaking favorite and won at 58-1. We went with Big Law (18-1), finishing fifth. The other results in order of their success, are as follows:

3yo filly pace – Hot Mess Express, $2.20, $2.10, $2.10 OK
3yo filly trot – Queen Of All, $7.60, $7.60 OK, Exacta $34.60
2yo colt trot – Panda Adventure, $2.40, $2.20, Exacta $7.00
3yo colt pace – Goldies Legacy, $3.60
3yo filly pace – Somethingbeautiful, $2.60
2yo filly pace – Always Gonna Be You, $2.10
2yo colt pace – Big Law 18-1 fifth
3yo colt trot – Breckenridge 49-1 fifth
2yo filly pace – Alloutblitz 37-1 sixth
2yo filly trot – Macy 124-1 seventh
2yo filly trot – Callmesue 26-1 ninth

Saturday, Oct. 16

Ontario Sires Stakes Grassroots finals at Mohawk went much as the crowd and as we forecasted, though we brought in the penultimate win price and all but one of our contenders hit the board.

3yo filly trot – Up And Ready, $10.80, $5.20, $3.30
3yo colt pace – Desperate Man, $5.70, 2.70, $2.10
2yo filly pace – Prohibition Legal, $2.40, $2.10, n/s
2yo filly trot – Adare Castle, $2.90, $2.20, $2.10
2yo colt pace – Magical Arthur, $12.10, $4.40
2yo filly trot – Mischievous Rose, $3.10, $2.40, Exacta $6.60
3yo colt trot – Logan Park, $2.60, $2.20, Exacta $7.90
2yo filly pace – Silver Label, $2.30, n/s, Exacta $3.60
3yo filly trot – You Will Be Queen, $5.10
3yo filly pace – Voelz Delight, $3.20
3yo colt pace – Powertrain, $2.10
3yo filly pace – Best Keepsake 57-1, ninth

The Courageous Lady at Northfield was never in doubt; it was won by Test Of Faith ($2.20, $2.10 n/s), and neither longshot finished second (as was the best possible play); State Of Mind scratched and Think Of Galaxies (n/s) was third.

H2W LIST RESULTS

The H2W results list across-the-board prices. Exactas listed include a H2W horse finishing second to a race-favorite or if the first two finishers are H2W horses (an asterisk appears when both horses are listed—a cold exacta). The note “OK” determines that prices are correct (even when a show price exceeds a place price or all prices are the same).

Please note that some results reflect horses racing after the blog posts (they appear the following week).

This week, there were 36 active horses (an 11% win hit rate and a 31% ATB [across-the-board] hit). Horses with asterisks before their names were tweets @FrankCotolo. Follow for late choices.

Winners

River Otter, $9.80, $4.00, $3.60, Pocono
Newyorkblueblood, $8.60, $3.50, $2.90, Vernon.
Yankees Beast, $5.20, $3.20, $2.60, Meadows
Tobins Secret, $4.40, $2.40, $2.10, Meadows

Seconds

Won For Gigi, $10.00, $9.80, Northfield
L Dees Yoyo Ma, $8.00, $4.60 (Exacta $5.30), Plainridge
Wink And Nod, $7.40, $5.10, Monticello
Iwannabewithyou, $3.40, $4.20 OK, Hoosier
Raybarnz, $3.40, $2.60, Plainridge

Thirds

Run Around John, $2.90, Monticello
Rest Assured, $2.80, Plainridge

NEWS & NOTES

On Sunday, Oct. 10, we finished eighth in the Kentucky Futurity ($531k) with Delayed Hanover (9-1). Our estimation of the mega-favorite and winner, Jujubee, was less than zero. However, there were factors we warned could weigh badly on some regulars in the division. At 4-1, Dancinginthedark broke as the gate opened. Really Fast also jumped. Both were eliminated. Two horses we followed in the late part of the season, Fly Light and Mon Amour, finished third and fifth, respectively.

Also from our recent features, Atlanta won with When Dovescry following. Through the season we backed Splash Blue Chip, who finally won at 24-1; Allywag Hanover ($5.60, $3.80, $3.40), another Brett Pelling trainee we have cashed much backing, was super strong winning the Open Pace; Bella Bellini lost the Kentucky Filly Futurity by a whisker. Perfect Sting lost perfectly again, finishing in his favorite place—to place in the Tattersall.

We’ll be working closely with The Meadowlands for the Breeders Crown eliminations and for the Oct. 29 and Oct. 30 finals with the track and Harness Racing Update. Race reports and race features will follow the specific events we will cover, but the preliminary handicapping for elims and finals will appear in our TwinSpires blogs this week and next.

Extraordinary Extras

Indulge in our columns, Alternative Actions and Bettors Banquet, at Harness Racing Update.

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