Holland's North American Free Racing Picks for Oct. 25
Churchill Downs opens for their 2020 Fall meet and Tim Holland as a few picks. Tim also provides selections for Laurel Park, Woodbine and Hawthorne.
#6 Stayin’ Out Late (5-2) impressed when leading from the start to win his debut over 6 1/2 furlongs here last month from which race the second and third-place finishers both won their next outings. Son of Tapit is a half-brother to Cali Star, who won the Rampart (G3), and trainer Asmussen wins with 21% of his runners that broke their maiden last time out. Chestnut can be in good position throughout with Santana retaining the mount.
A competitive field for the Rags To Riches includes #9 Midnight Ballerina (8-1), who was well-bet when fairly easily winning her debut from just off the pace over 6 1/2 furlongs here last month. Trainer Mott wins with 17% of his runners going a route for the first time and filly should handle this distance being by Mineshaft. 2-year-old should get a good trip from just off the pace and Leparoux remains aboard.
Trainer Cox wins with 18% of his first-time starters and saddles #10 Outasite (3-1), a debuting son of good young sire Outwork, who is out of a mare by Speightstown, whose offspring win 16% of their first outings. $380K purchase earlier this year has posted some impressive works for Cox, who has won with 24% of his runners this year. Colt is likely ready to win at first asking under Geroux, who has won with 29% of his rides for the barn in the past two months.
#3 Fly the W (10-1) made some belated progress after being bumped at the start in his latest over 5 furlongs at Pimlico last month in his second start after a long break. Son of Ghostzapper is a half-brother to Caribou Club, who won the Seabiscuit (G3), and trainer Proctor wins with 16% of his runners going from a sprint to a route. Gelding can be along from off the pace under Carrasco, who has won with three of his last five rides for the barn.
Trainer Carroll has won with 22% of her runners at this meet and saddles three here including #9 Sansa’s Vow (12-1), who flattened out after making early progress when fourth over 1 1/16 miles last month in her first since June. Carroll wins with 19% of her runners second off a layoff and daughter of Broken Vow is a half-sister to Prince of Wales S. winner Tone Broke. Dark bay can be running late under Fukumoto, who has won with three of his last eight mounts for this stable.
#1 Richiesgotswagger (5-1) was claimed by Hugo Rodriguez when a close second after being involved from the start over 6 1/2 furlongs in earlier this month in his first start since August. Gray has a record of 7-3-1-1 on this oval and Rodriguez wins with 24% of his runners first time off the claim. Gelding figures to be in front early and tough to catch with Roman riding.