Holland's North American Racing Picks for May 18
Editor's Note: Even with a slight 'cool off' from Tim's hot few months of picks. He sits at a profit overall with 432 races of which 91 are winners (21%). Selections at 5-1 or higher have a profit of 8% after 193 races.
Will Rogers Downs Picks
Trainer Diodoro wins with a high 31% of his claimers that won last time out and saddles #5 Decorated for Gold (3-1), who rallied from off the pace to win her latest over the track and distance 12 days ago. Daughter of Declaration of War has a record of 4-1-0-1 on regular dirt and Diodoro has won with 26% of his starters at this meet. Filly can be along from off the pace under Kennedy, who has won with 27% of his rides for the barn in the past two months.
#7 Southgate (3-1) comes off a third-place finish in an even effort as the favorite in a stakes over the track and distance last month in his first start since January. Trainer Young wins with 16% of his runners second off a layoff and with 28% that were beaten as the favorite last time out. 3-year-old can be running late with Wethey remaining aboard.
#5 Gray Sky Mesa (3-1) weakened late when second after leading from the start over 6 furlongs at this level in her latest last month. Daughter of Graydar has hit the board in all four starts on this oval and trainer Luneack wins with 15% of her starters in claiming events. Gray appears to be the one to catch with Eikleberry retaining the mount.
Trainer Broberg wins with 28% of runners in claiming events and saddles #8 Gambler (3-1), who closed to finish second as the favorite at this level here two weeks ago. 3-year-old has won one of eight career starts and makes his fourth outing for Broberg, who has won with 21% of his starters at this meet. Son of Quality Road can be in good position from the start with Cabrera riding.
Fonner Park Picks
#2 Lost Key (6-1) flattened out when second over the track and distance after making progress from just off the pace in her latest last month. 6-year-old has a record of 14-2-1-1 on this oval and trainer McKinney wins with 14% of her runners in claiming events. Dark bay can be along late with Fackler in the irons.
Claimers going one mile include #7 Panic Button (5-1), who narrowly missed when closing to finish second at this level over 6 1/2 furlongs last month. 6-year-old has a record of 6-2-1-2 at this distance and trainer Mitchell has won with 16% of his starters at this meet. Dark bay can be closer to the early leaders this time with Wood riding.
Trainer Anderson wins with 25% of runners that were beaten as the favorite last time out and saddles #4 Dorothe Marie (4-1), who weakened to finish second as the choice after making an early bid for the lead over the track and distance in her latest this month. Gray has hit the board in three of four starts here and Anderson has won with 19% of runners at this meet. Daughter of Cashel Castle can be stalking the early leaders under Arrieta, who won with three of his last six rides for this barn.
#7 I Call Shotgun (8-1) comes off a third-place finish in an even effort at this level two weeks ago. Trainer Wise wins with 15% of his runners in claiming events and gelding has won one of four starts on this oval. 8-year-old has a record of 13-2-3-2 at this distance and can be in good position throughout under Olesiak, who has won with 19% of his rides for the barn in the past 60 days.