Homeracing

Horses to bet (or oppose) in the Pick 6 carryovers at Santa Anita and Turfway Park

Profile Picture: J. Keeler Johnson

March 5th, 2021

Ready to chase some Pick 6 carryovers?

As a precursor to an exciting weekend of graded stakes action across the country, let’s explore a couple of enticing Pick 6 carryovers on the Friday agenda at Santa Anita and Turfway Park.

Santa Anita: Rainbow 6

Carryover amount: $580,061
Base bet: 20 cents
Sequence starts: Race 3, 4:35 p.m. ET
Number of entries: 44 (7.3 per race)

A mandatory dispersal of the Rainbow 6 carryover is slated for Saturday, when the final pool is expected to exceed $5 million. But if you manage to assemble a unique winning ticket on Friday (a task admittedly easier said than done), you can snatch a six-figure payoff all for yourself.

The Friday sequence kicks off in Race 3, a one-mile maiden special weight for three-year-olds. #8 Harbored Memories (2-1) is going to be a popular play after finishing second in his first two starts against tough competition. But as we noted in our Picks and Plays for Mar. 5, #5 Law Professor (6-1) could be a live longshot while adding blinkers for trainer Michael McCarthy, who wins at a 23% rate with second-time starters.

If there’s a single in the sequence, it might be #4 One Flew South (4-1) in Race 4, a $50,000 starter allowance race. Just five horses have been entered, and there’s hardly any pace on paper, so the tactical speed One Flew South displayed in a $25,000 claiming race on Jan. 22 should come in handy. The son of Giant’s Causeway earned a competitive 93 Brisnet Speed rating while cruising to victory by two lengths, and hot jockey Umberto Rispoli (a 28% winner at Santa Anita this meet) picks up the mount. Judging from the steady string of blazing workouts One Flew Sharp has posted over the last month, he’s ready to capitalize on his tactical advantage in this small field.

Turfway Park: Single 6

Carryover amount: $30,264
Base bet: 20 cents
Sequence starts: Race 3, 7:16 p.m. ET
Number of entries: 67 (11.2 per race)

On any given day of racing at Turfway Park, the bigger challenge than constructing a unique winning Single 6 ticket is constructing any winning ticket at all. Case in point? Thursday’s sequence produced only one winning favorite while three double-digit longshots stole the show. When the dust settled, not a single winning ticket had been sold, allowing the jackpot carryover to crack the $30,000 mark.

Friday’s Single 6 looks a little more manageable; with 67 horses entered across the sequence, there are “only” 1,729,728 possible outcomes to consider, which certainly beats the 3,984,288 combinations that faced bettors before scratches on Thursday.

In general, opposing favorites is a valuable strategy at Turfway, and Race 3—a six-furlong allowance optional claiming race—presents a perfect opportunity to do so. The stakes-placed #6 Rising Seas (5-2) might be the fastest and most accomplished runner in the field, but the worst finish of her career coincided with her only start over a synthetic track, so this tried-and-true dirt filly isn’t guaranteed to handle the transition to Tapeta at Turfway.

However, we can’t recommend opposing #9 On Cue (8-5) in Race 5, a six-furlong maiden special weight for three-year-old fillies. In her debut on Jan. 15 at Turfway, the daughter of Maclean’s Music rallied to finish third against a very deep field. The victorious Wait for Nairobi returned to win the Cincinnati Trophy S. on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, while runner-up Twenty Carat and seventh-place runner Joyful Cadence came right back to break their maidens.

On Cue’s game effort against this quality group produced an 80 Brisnet Speed rating, the highest figure in Friday’s field. Considering trainer Tom Drury wins at a 27% rate with second-time starters, On Cue figures to win for fun at a short price, stamping the promising filly as a deserving single in the Single 6.

Good luck!

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