How to play the all-stakes Pick 4 on Belmont Stakes Day
Belmont Stakes Day Pick 4There will be no shortage of wagering options on Belmont Stakes Day at Belmont Park, but one of the most appealing bets is the Pick 4 that kicks off in Race 8.
The all-stakes sequence has a guaranteed pool of $1.5 million, so with the right combination of longshot winners, the potential exists for a huge wagering score.
Let’s take a look at each race and put together a few of tickets on a ~$60 budget.
Race 8: Woody Stephens Stakes (G1)This seven-furlong sprint for 3-year-olds tends to be unpredictable. The early pace is often destructive, giving an advantage to late-running longshots. There’s plenty of speed among this year’s 11 entrants, so the stage could be set for a horse like 20-1 #7 Strike Silver to spring a surprise. Trained by Mark Casse, Strike Silver is switching back to dirt for the first time since July of 2018, when he finished second by a neck in the Sanford Stakes (G3) at Saratoga. After being compromised by a slow pace in the Paradise Creek Stakes on turf two weeks ago, a fast-paced dirt race could be exactly what Strike Silver is looking for.
But playing Strike Silver is admittedly a shot in the dark. Late runners like #3 Borracho, #6 Nitrous and #8 Hog Creek Hustle could also capitalize on a fast pace, or perhaps we’ll see the speedy #2 Much Better take back while racing without blinkers. There are plenty of options here, so let’s hit the “ALL” button to kick things off and hope we catch a longshot.
Race 9: Metropolitan Handicap (G1)Since I’m spreading deep in the Woody Stephens, I’ll take a stand in the Met Mile with #7 Firenze Fire, a track and distance specialist with a perfect 3-for-3 record at Belmont. As I outlined in my preview of the Met Mile, Firenze Fire seems like a different horse whenever he shows up at Belmont and should get a perfect pace setup on Saturday. I’m expecting a big performance.
Race 10: Manhattan Stakes (G1)#8 Bricks and Mortar has turned into a beast of a turf horse, and the way things are going, he might even have a shot at earning Horse of the Year honors for 2019. Rather than rehash his virtues (which I’ve done on more than a few occasions this year), I’ll point you toward my separate preview of the Manhattan Stakes.
I would single Bricks and Mortar if not for the presence of his stablemate #3 Robert Bruce, who should finally encounter a firm turf course after three straight defeats over softer going. A repeat of his late-running victory in the 2018 Arlington Million (G1) would put him in the mix for a possible upset.
Race 11: Belmont Stakes (G1)I’ve already made my case for #8 Intrepid Heart as a longshot pedigree play, but I recognize he’ll need to step up his game in order to win on Saturday. So rather than place all my eggs in one basket, I’ll also include the favorites #9 War of Will and #10 Tacitus on two tickets and the front-running longshot #1 Joevia on another.
$1 Pick 4: ALL with 7 with 8 with 8,9,10 ($33) $0.50 Pick 4: ALL with 7 with 3 with 8,9,10 ($16.5) $0.50 Pick 4: ALL with 7 with 3,8 with 1 ($11)