How to wager on the Little Brown Jug at the 2016 Delaware County Fair
Both horses are 3-to-5 on the morning line in their respective divisions, but Betting Line is the likely choice in the 2nd heat, and I prefer Racing Hill, who looks to have a pace advantage, and even if you accept that Betting Line is better, I’m not sure he’s twice is good, and I think we’ll get twice the price on Racing Hill in the 2nd heat.
Also in play is I think Betting Line will have to work harder in his division. He’s in post 5 of 6, and while there is pace to close into, he’ll either be waiting for room late or have to be wide around a turn, and that might take some starch out of him either in terms of winning his first heat or racing at his best for the final.
In the first division #3 Lyons Snyder is an interesting longshot. He’s made the lead before, and his 1:49-flat is the best mark here besides the favorite. #1 Dr J Hanover should benefit from the rail. #4 Check Six is the second choice on the morning line and the one I’m most selling at that price. I’ll play the 3 across the board at 10-to-1 or better and play the 1 and 3 to hit the exacta and trifecta with Betting Line.
In the 2nd division I can’t look past the favorite and will just single him in the Pick 4.