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Homeracing

Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Sept. 6

Profile Picture: J. Keeler Johnson

September 6th, 2022

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Sept. 6 at Colonial Downs, along with horses to single in Pick 5 carryovers at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Louisiana Downs.

Today’s special offers from TwinSpires include:

  • Trifecta Tuesday: Receive a 15% bonus on trifecta winnings (excluding stake amount; up to $25 per day) on every Tuesday from Aug. 2 through Oct. 4.
  • Bet Back at Colonial Downs: Receive refunds on win bets (up to $10) if your horse finishes second or third in eligible races at Colonial Downs.

Picks and Plays

Colonial Downs: Race 1: Maiden Special Weight (1 1/4 miles on turf, 1:45 p.m. ET)

#9 Remote (2-1) has hit the board in three straight maiden special weights racing 1 3/16 miles to 1 3/8 miles on the New York circuit. Along the way, the Christophe Clement trainee has earned solid Brisnet Speed ratings in the 80-87 range.

Remote isn’t facing the toughest field at Colonial Downs and should beat #1 Timo (3-1), #6 Tiger to Remember (6-1), and #8 Smooth Sailing (4-1) to the winner’s circle. We’ll focus on betting the trifecta (taking advantage of the Trifecta Tuesday promotion), but we’ll also capitalize on the Bet Back at Colonial Downs offer and place a $10 win bet on Remote.

  • $10 to win on #9 Remote
  • $2.50 Trifecta: 9 with 1 with 6,8 ($5)
  • $2.50 Trifecta: 9 with 6,8 with 1 ($5)
    Total: $20

Colonial Downs: Race 8: Rosies S. (5 1/2 furlongs on turf, 5:01 p.m. ET)

#5 Grand Oak (9-5) was an impressive maiden winner sprinting five furlongs over the Churchill Downs turf course. Then, following an unsuccessful foray to Royal Ascot in England, Grand Oak traveled to Woodbine for the 6 1/2-furlong Catch a Glimpse S. and finished fourth after carving out the pace.

Cutting back to 5 1/2 furlongs should suit Grand Oak just fine, and trainer Graham Motion has been hot at Colonial this year, compiling a 14-3-3-1 (21%) record. We’ll definitely capitalize on the Bet Back at Colonial Downs promotion and place a $10 win bet on Grand Oak.

#1 Call Me Ice Man (5-1) can complete the exacta.

  • $10 to win on #5 Grand Oak
  • $5 Exacta: 5 with 1
    Total: $15

Colonial Downs: Race 9: Virginia Oaks (1 1/8 miles on turf, 5:29 p.m. ET)

#13 Oakhurst (3-1) was compromised by an extremely slow early/fast late race shape when finishing last of five in the Saratoga Oaks (G3) last month. Settling at the back of the pack was far from an ideal position, but Oakhurst did close a bit of ground down the lane to finish 3 3/4 lengths behind the winner.

If Oakhurst receives a fair setup in the Virginia Oaks, she can rally to victory for acclaimed turf trainer Chad Brown. We’ll bet Oakhurst to win (taking advantage of the Bet Back at Colonial Downs promotion) and key her over the Graham Motion trainees #9 Sparkle Blue (8-1) and #10 Candy Light (20-1) in the exacta.

  • $10 to win on #13 Oakhurst
  • $5 Exacta: 13 with 9,10 ($10)
    Total: $20

Carryover Watch

Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 4: $465 Pick 5 carryover (4:03 p.m. ET)

Looking for a single to build tickets around in Tuesday’s $465 Pick 5 carryover at Horseshoe Indianapolis? Then you might want to check out Race 4, a $15,000 maiden claimer taking place over 1 1/16 miles on turf.

At first glance, Race 4 might not seem like the best opportunity to seek a single. The field is large, and you can make a case for a few different horses. #10 Smarty Alex (4-1), for example, exits a third-place finish in a $30,000 maiden claimer racing one mile over the Horseshoe Indianapolis lawn.

But #7 King of Sting (3-1) might be a subtle standout. Trained by Joe Sharp (a 25% winner this meet), King of Sting has been facing tougher competition on the East Coast. He ran sixth in a $30,000 maiden claimer at Laurel Park last month and hit the board in a $40,000 maiden claimer at Aqueduct during the spring.

Sharp wins at a 21% rate with horses descending multiple levels down the class ladder, so King of Sting figures to appreciate dropping to the $15,000 level at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Throw in the fact jockey Deshawn Parker has won with six of his last 17 mounts at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and King of Sting looks like a viable single.

Louisiana Downs, Race 3: $713 Pick 5 carryover (5:01 p.m. ET)

A competitive sequence awaits bettors chasing the $713 Pick 5 carryover at Louisiana Downs, but a possible single can be found in Race 5, a $12,500 allowance optional claimer for Louisiana-bred fillies and mares racing 7 1/2 furlongs on turf.

#6 Platinum Queen (2-1) has been in hot form since being claimed by trainer Karl Broberg, a 22% winner this meet. She nabbed a $12,500 claimer for Louisiana-breds over this course and distance on July 25, then came back to win a non-state-restricted $12,500 claimer over the same configuration on Aug. 7. Two weeks later, in her most recent run, Platinum Queen ran second in an off-the-turf allowance at Louisiana Downs.

Returning to turf can send Platinum Queen back to the winner’s circle under hot apprentice jockey Vicente Del-Cid, a 21% winner this meet and a 26% winner teaming up with Broberg over the last two months.

Good luck!

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