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Homeracing

Keeneland track update: Oct. 27, 2021

Profile Picture: Rowan Ward

October 27th, 2021

Keeneland's meet ends this week, but there is still time to cash tickets! Let's check in on the standings, find some profitable betting angles, and bring the meet to a profitable end.

Jockeys

Tyler Gaffalione is having a sparkling meet. His 23 wins (87 starts, 26% win rate) are 12 clear of Florent Geroux (11 wins, 70 starts, 16%), the only other rider in double digits.

The most profitable angle for betting Gaffalione is distance on grass. He has seven wins from 23 starts (30%), with a +52% ROI in two-turn turf races. Brian Hernandez has also done well at two turns on the lawn, with five wins from 17 starts (29%) and a +223% ROI.

On dirt, jockeys to watch at a price include Corey Lanerie (five wins, 32 starts, 16%, +37% ROI) and John McKee (three wins, six starts, 50%, +223% ROI). McKee has several mounts through closing week at Keeneland and should remain under the betting radar.

Trainers

Though better known for his dominance of juvenile races in April, Wesley Ward is having a sparkling fall meet at Keeneland. He leads all trainers, with 10 wins (28 starts, 36%), and 21 of his 28 starters have run in the money.

The only other trainers with more than five wins are Brad Cox (eight wins, 33 starts, 24%) and Mike Maker (seven wins, 46 starts, 15%).

Ward has been particularly dominant with turf sprints. He has five wins in 11 one-turn turf starts (45%), and no other trainer has more than one. In turf routes, Chad Brown (three wins, nine starts, 33%, +23% ROI) and Ken McPeek (three wins, eight starts, 38%, +262% ROI) have been the meet leaders.

At two turns on dirt, Cox has been dominant. His six wins (14 starts, 43%, +41% ROI) are four more than his closest pursuers, though both Rodolphe Brisset (two wins, five starts, +78% ROI) and John Ortiz (two wins, three starts, 67%, +643% ROI) have made good of limited dirt route starts.

In main-track sprints, Ward leads in wins (five wins, 14 starts, 36%, +5% ROI), and 13 of his 14 dirt sprint starters have run in the money. Brendan Walsh (three wins, nine starts, 33%, +183% ROI) has also had a strong meet going short on dirt.

At a Glance

For more information about trends at tracks throughout North America, make sure to read the latest At a Glance reports, only at Brisnet!

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