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Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Arkansas Derby

Profile Picture: James Scully

April 17th, 2018

Magnum Moon wrapped up his Kentucky Derby preparations with a four-length victory in the Arkansas Derby (G1) and will likely be either the second or third choice in the wagering behind favored Justify. The Malibu Moon colt is one of four Todd Pletcher pupils in the 20-horse Kentucky Derby field along with Audible, Noble Indy and Vino Rosso.

Magnum Moon wound up on the lead by default in what proved to be a paceless race and the unbeaten colt led wire-to-wire for the first time through glacial fractions (:48.60, 1:13.39 and 1:37.87), nearly two seconds slower than Oaklawn H. (G2) at the same distance one race earlier.

The slow pace contributed to a 99 BRIS Speed rating, a slight decrease from the 100 Speed figure for a 3 ½-length score in the March 17 Rebel (G2) at Oaklawn.

Magnum Moon remains eligible to keep moving forward with a strong showing in the Kentucky Derby, but his Speed numbers are a little light compared to other top contenders.

Quip held second throughout and received a 95 Speed rating. He posted a career-best 98 upsetting the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) in his previous start and 17 of the last 20 Kentucky Derby winners had earned a triple-digit number before the first Saturday in May.

Solomi wound up another neck back and stamped his Kentucky Derby with the third-place finish. But from a pair of starts this year, the classy juvenile performer has failed to run back to the 100-101 Speed ratings he garnered in back-to-back starts to close 2017.

Combatant missed third by a head and as a result, he’s on the Kentucky Derby bubble as the first alternate (ranked 21st). The Arkansas Derby proved similar to his previous prep races as confirmed closer offered a fine turn of foot to put himself in position to challenge by upper stretch before lacking the necessary finishing kick in the latter stages.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.

Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (90 and better):

Horse

 

Race (finish)

 

BRIS Speed

Justify

 

Santa Anita Derby (1st)

 

114

Bolt d’Oro

 

Santa Anita Derby (2nd)

 

110

Audible

 

Florida Derby (1st)

 

107

Enticed

 

Gotham (1st)

 

104

Promises Fulfilled

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

104

Hofburg

 

Florida Derby (2nd)

 

104

Vino Rosso

 

Wood Memorial (1st)

 

102

Magnum Moon

 

Rebel (1st)

 

100

Noble Indy

 

Louisiana Derby (1st)

 

100

Lone Sailor

 

Louisiana Derby (2nd)

 

100

Magnum Moon

 

Arkansas Derby (1st)

 

99

Enticed

 

Wood Memorial (2nd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Louisiana Derby (3rd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

San Felipe (1st)

 

98

Bravazo

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Blue Grass (1st)

 

98

Quip

 

Tampa Bay Derby (1st)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

98

Flameaway

 

Blue Grass (2nd)

 

97

Flameaway

 

Tampa Bay Derby (2nd)

 

97

Solomini

 

Rebel (2nd)

 

96

Combatant

 

Rebel (3rd)

 

96

Free Drop Billy

 

Gotham (3rd)

 

96

Noble Indy

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

96

Quip

 

Arkansas Derby (2nd)

 

95

Solomini

 

Arkansas Derby (3rd)

 

95

My Boy Jack

 

Lexington (1st)

 

94

Combatant

 

Arkansas Derby (4th)

 

94

 

 

 

 

 

Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:

Horse (finish)

 

Race

 

BRIS Speed

Audible

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

105

Bolt d’Oro

 

FrontRunner (1st)

 

105

Good Magic

 

BC Juvenile (1st)

 

105

Flameaway

 

Sam F. Davis (1st)

 

101

Solomini

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd)

 

101

Solomini

 

BC Juvenile (2nd)

 

100

Vino Rosso

 

Sam F. Davis (3rd)

 

100

Free Drop Billy

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

BC Juvenile (3rd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Southwest (1st)

 

98

Firenze Fire

 

Champagne (1st)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

96

Good Magic

 

Champagne (2nd)

 

96

Solomini

 

FrontRunner (2nd)

 

96

 

 

 

 

 

 

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