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Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Blue Grass Stakes

Profile Picture: James Scully

April 10th, 2018

Good Magic rallied to win the Blue Grass (G2) at Keeneland by a comfortable 1 ½-length margin, rebounding from an even third at 3-5 odds in the Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream, but he’ll need to improve upon a 98 BRIS Speed rating in the Kentucky Derby.

The champion 2-year-old male registered a 105 Speed figure powering his way to a 4 ¼-length victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall and supporters will be projecting a major step forward in the third start back this year at Churchill Downs.

Jose Ortiz rides for Chad Brown, who recorded his first Triple Crown race win with Cloud Computing in last year’s Preakness.

Flameaway established a pressured pace and never quit trying after being overhauled in upper stretch, battling gamely to the wire. Winner of the Sam F. Davis (G3) three back, the Mark Casse-conditioned son of Scat Daddy has registered back-to-back 97 BRIS Speed ratings finishing second in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) and Blue Grass.

Free Drop Billy never posed a threat to the top two but was impeded late by a drifting Sporting Chance, who won’t make the Kentucky Derby field after being disqualified and placed fourth (only 12 points). Free Drop Billy picked up 20 points after being elevated to third and appears safely within the main body in 15th with 44 points. But he’s never posted a triple-digit BRIS Speed number from seven stakes attempts and received only a 94 in the Blue Grass.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.

Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (95 and better):

Horse

 

Race (finish)

 

BRIS Speed

Justify

 

Santa Anita Derby (1st)

 

114

Bolt d’Oro

 

Santa Anita Derby (2nd)

 

110

Audible

 

Florida Derby (1st)

 

107

Enticed

 

Gotham (1st)

 

104

Promises Fulfilled

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

104

Hofburg

 

Florida Derby (2nd)

 

104

Vino Rosso

 

Wood Memorial (1st)

 

102

Instilled Regard

 

Santa Anita Derby (4th)

 

102

Magnum Moon

 

Rebel (1st)

 

100

Noble Indy

 

Louisiana Derby (1st)

 

100

Lone Sailor

 

Louisiana Derby (2nd)

 

100

Enticed

 

Wood Memorial (2nd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Louisiana Derby (3rd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

San Felipe (1st)

 

98

Bravazo

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Blue Grass (1st)

 

98

Quip

 

Tampa Bay Derby (1st)

 

98

Snapper Sinclair

 

Risen Star (2nd)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

98

Flameaway

 

Blue Grass (2nd)

 

97

Flameaway

 

Tampa Bay Derby (2nd)

 

97

Runaway Ghost

 

Sunland Derby (1st)

 

96

Solomini

 

Rebel (2nd)

 

96

Combatant

 

Rebel (3rd)

 

96

Free Drop Billy

 

Gotham (3rd)

 

96

Noble Indy

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Risen Star (4th)

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:

Horse (finish)

 

Race

 

BRIS Speed

Audible

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

105

Bolt d’Oro

 

FrontRunner (1st)

 

105

Good Magic

 

BC Juvenile (1st)

 

105

Flameaway

 

Sam F. Davis (1st)

 

101

Solomini

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd)

 

101

Instilled Regard

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd)

 

100

Solomini

 

BC Juvenile (2nd)

 

100

Vino Rosso

 

Sam F. Davis (3rd)

 

100

Free Drop Billy

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

BC Juvenile (3rd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Southwest (1st)

 

98

Firenze Fire

 

Champagne (1st)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

96

Good Magic

 

Champagne (2nd)

 

96

Solomini

 

FrontRunner (2nd)

 

96

 

 

 

 

 

 

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