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Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Fountain of Youth

Profile Picture: James Scully

March 6th, 2018

Overlooked at 18-1, Promises Fulfilled made it look easy defeating a solid field in the March 3 Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream Park and received an excellent 104 BRIS Speed rating. That puts him in the same range as leading Kentucky Derby contenders Audible (105 winning the Holy Bull [G2] in February) and McKinzie (104 winning January’s Sham [G3]).

Promises Fulfilled improved markedly from a trio of starts last year.

From the second crop of 2011 Preakness winner Shackleford, the chestnut colt’s Speed ratings jumped 14 points from his juvenile finale, a weakening third in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs. His previous best, a 92 for an entry-level allowance sprint win at Keeneland, came in his second start.

He's never been headed at any point of call prior to the finish, setting the pace in all four starts. Promises Fulfilled led comfortably throughout the Fountain of Youth and registered a career-best 101 BRIS E2 Pace rating before drawing away to a 2 ¼-length decision.

A 102 Late Pace number, the first triple-digit figure of Promises Fulfilled’s career, adds another level of appreciation to his performance.

Strike Power may not willingly concede front-running duties in upcoming engagements, but the speedy colt was willing to stalk in second and tried hard all the way finishing a clear second. A flashy wire-to-wire winner in his first two efforts sprinting, including the 7-furlong Swale (G3) in early February, the Speightstown colt registered his second century-topping BRIS Speed rating (101) and the high-quality performance alleviates at least some concerns surrounding his threshold for two-turn distances.

Good Magic came up flat, basically holding his positioning the entire way as he never threatened the top two, and received a 98 BRIS Speed rating for the no-excuse third. Chad Brown may not have had his charge cranked up but it was still disappointing to see such a regression from the 105 Speed fig earned for a sparkling Breeders’ Cup Juvenile triumph.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.

Here are the top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (90 and above):

Horse (finish)

 

Race

 

BRIS Speed

Promises Fulfilled

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

104

Strike Power

 

Fountain of Youth (2nd)

 

101

Bravazo

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

Snapper Sinclair

 

Risen Star (2nd)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

98

Noble Indy

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

96

Machismo

 

Fountain of Youth (4th)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Risen Star (4th)

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:

Horse (finish)

 

Race

 

BRIS Speed

Audible

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

105

Bolt d’Oro

 

FrontRunner (1st)

 

105

Good Magic

 

BC Juvenile (1st)

 

105

McKinzie

 

Sham (1st)

 

104

Flameaway

 

Sam F. Davis (1st)

 

101

Catholic Boy

 

Sam F. Davis (2nd)

 

101

Solomini

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd)

 

101

McKinzie

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (1st)

 

100

Instilled Regard

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd)

 

100

Solomini

 

BC Juvenile (2nd)

 

100

Vino Rosso

 

Sam F. Davis (3rd)

 

100

All Out Blitz

 

Sham (2nd)

 

99

Free Drop Billy

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

BC Juvenile (3rd)

 

99

Catholic Boy

 

Remsen (1st)

 

98

My Boy Jack

 

Southwest (1st)

 

98

Firenze Fire

 

Champagne (1st)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

96

Good Magic

 

Champagne (2nd)

 

96

Solomini

 

FrontRunner (2nd)

 

96

Avery Island

 

Withers (1st)

 

94

Firenze Fire

 

Jerome (1st)

 

94

Seven Trumpets

 

Jerome (2nd)

 

94

My Boy Jack

 

Sham (3rd)

 

94

Shivermetimbers

 

Sham (4th)

 

94

Enticed

 

Ky Jockey Club (1st)

 

93

Greyvitos

 

Springboard Mile (1st)

 

93

Avery Island

 

Remsen (2nd)

 

93

Tiz Mischief

 

Ky Jockey Club (2nd)

 

93

The Tabulator

 

Iroquois (1st)

 

92

Combatant

 

Southwest (2nd)

 

92

Firenze Fire

 

Withers (2nd)

 

92

Principe Guilherme

 

Lecomte (2nd)

 

92

Enticed

 

Champagne (3rd)

 

92

Snapper Sinclair

 

Lecomte (3rd)

 

92

Free Drop Billy

 

Breeders’ Futurity (1st)

 

91

Combatant

 

Springboard Mile (2nd)

 

91

Hollywood Star

 

Iroquois (2nd)

 

91

Marconi

 

Withers (3rd)

 

91

Vouch

 

Remsen (3rd)

 

91

Promises Fulfilled

 

Ky Jockey Club (3rd)

 

90

Enticed

 

Holy Bull (4th)

 

90

 

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