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Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report March 14: San Felipe post-race blues, Tapwrit ascends in Tampa Bay Derby

Profile Picture: James Scully

March 14th, 2017

Favored at odds-on, Mastery did not disappoint posting a dominant wire-to-wire victory in the San Felipe (G2) at Santa Anita but any celebration was short-lived as the unbeaten colt exited his 2017 opener with an injury that knocks him out of Kentucky Derby consideration. He earned a 102 BRIS Speed rating, one of the best numbers by a Kentucky Derby contender this year, but it was the way Mastery did it, easily turning back a couple of well-regarded rivals before winning with seemingly plenty in reserve, that had observers briefly so excited about his potential on the first Saturday in May.

Tapwrit stepped up in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2), virtually guaranteeing himself a spot in the Kentucky Derby field with the 50-point prize and registering his first triple-digit BRIS Speed rating (101). The gray Tapit colt parlayed an excellent turn of foot into a 4 ½-length decision, notching a fine 101 BRIS Late Pace figure as well.

Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by Jose Ortiz, the $1.2 million yearling improved upon a runner-up finish to McCraken in the February 11 Sam F. Davis (G3) at Tampa in which he earned a 97 Speed rating. The up-and-coming sophomore is expected to stretch out to 1 1/8 miles for his final prep and another strong showing would likely send him postward as one of the top betting choices on Derby Day.

After finishing third in the Sam Davis, pacesetter State of Honor improved his finishing position while easily holding second but his Speed ratings remained stagnant as he’s now posted back-to-back 96 figures. State of Honor will need to run faster in his final prep to establish himself as viable contender at Churchill Downs.

Trying two turns and a Kentucky Derby qualifier for the first time, Iliad managed to save runner-up honors in the San Felipe after being dusted by Mastery in midstretch. The well-bred ridgling is eligible to improve upon the experience, and he’s in good hands with two-time Kentucky Derby winner Doug O’Neill, but his 94 Speed rating was discouraging.

Gormley took a major step back after posting a fine win in the January 7 Sham (G3), receiving a 91 figure after retreating to be a well-beaten fourth, and this is the second time he’s faltered badly while being tested by top-class competition. Tough to envision him turning things around this spring.

Here are the top BRIS Speed ratings from Kentucky Derby qualifying races this year (90 or above, top four finish required):

Horse

 

Race (finish position)

 

BRIS Speed

J BOYS ECHO

 

Gotham (1st)

 

104

GORMLEY

 

Sham (1st)

 

102

GUNNEVERA

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

102

IRISH WAR CRY

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

102

AMERICAN ANTHEM

 

Sham (2nd)

 

102

ONE LINER

 

Southwest (1st)

 

101

TAPWRIT

 

Tampa Bay Derby (1st)

 

101

CLOUD COMPUTING

 

Gotham (2nd)

 

100

EL AREEB

 

Jerome (1st)

 

100

EL AREEB

 

Withers (1st)

 

99

MCCRAKEN

 

Sam Davis (1st)

 

99

GIRVIN

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

UNCONTESTED

 

Smarty Jones (1st)

 

97

GUNNEVERA

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

97

PETROV

 

Southwest (2nd)

 

97

TAPWRIT

 

Sam Davis (2nd)

 

97

STATE OF HONOR

 

Tampa Bay Derby (2nd)

 

96

UNTRAPPED

 

Risen Star (2nd)

 

96

STATE OF HONOR

 

Sam Davis (3rd)

 

96

ROYAL MO

 

Robert Lewis (1st)

 

95

PRACTICAL JOKE

 

Fountain of Youth (2nd)

 

95

THREE RULES

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

95

WILD SHOT

 

Sam Davis (4th)

 

95

ILIAD

 

San Felipe (2nd)

 

94

TRUE TIMBER

 

Withers (2nd)

 

94

WILD SHOT

 

Tampa Bay Derby (3rd)

 

94

GUEST SUITE

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

93

J BOYS ECHO

 

Withers (3rd)

 

93

LOCAL HERO

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

93

GUEST SUITE

 

Risen Star (4th)

 

93

NO DOZING

 

Tampa Bay Derby (4th)

 

93

CLASSIC EMPIRE

 

Holy Bull (3rd)

 

92

TERM OF ART

 

San Felipe (3rd)

 

92

IRAP

 

Robert Lewis (2nd)

 

91

PETROV

 

Smarty Jones (2nd)

 

91

UNTRAPPED

 

Lecomte (2nd)

 

91

EL AREEB

 

Gotham (3rd)

 

91

ACTION EVERYDAY

 

Gotham (4th)

 

91

GORMLEY

 

San Felipe (4th)

 

91

ZAKAROFF

 

El Camino Real Derby (1st)

 

90

SHEER FLATTERY

 

Robert Lewis (3rd)

 

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

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