Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report March 29: Hence gets big number

Profile Picture: James Scully

March 29th, 2017

Hence powered his way to a 3 ¾-length upset in the Sunland Derby (G3), rallying last-to-first at 10-1 odds, and earned a 103 BRIS Speed rating that towers over previous numbers. He received a perfect set-up behind a sizzling early pace and the surprising performance leaves us wondering whether he’s for real.

The Street Boss colt posted back-to-back 86 figures in his first two outings at Oaklawn Park this year, a pair of starts that inspired little confidence for the Sunland Derby. The Steve Asmussen trainee nearly surrendered a large lead before hanging on in a January 16 maiden tally and finished a well-beaten seventh making his stakes debut in the February 20 Southwest (G3).

Hence appeared much-improved in the Sunland Derby but the question remains whether he can back it up next time. Asmussen is considering one more start before the Kentucky Derby.

Fast and Accurate is scheduled to be supplemented for a $200,000 fee after punching his Kentucky Derby ticket with a Spiral (G3) victory but will face an extremely daunting challenge at Churchill Downs. The gray son of Hansen registered only an 86 BRIS Speed rating taking the Spiral on Polytrack, a number so low it doesn’t merit inclusion in our weekly Speed rating list (90 minimum), and he’s never won on dirt. Look for him to return to turf afterward.

A Group 1-winning juvenile on turf, Thunder Snow continued to show his versatility winning the UAE Derby (G2) and guaranteed himself a spot in the Kentucky Derby starting gate with the 100-point prize. However, we don’t calculate Speed rating for Dubai races so Thunder Snow isn’t listed below.

Here are the top BRIS Speed ratings from Kentucky Derby qualifying races this year (90 or above, top four finish required):

Horse

 

Race (finish position)

 

BRIS Speed

J BOYS ECHO

 

Gotham (1st)

 

104

HENCE

 

Sunland Derby (1st)

 

103

GORMLEY

 

Sham (1st)

 

102

GUNNEVERA

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

102

IRISH WAR CRY

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

102

AMERICAN ANTHEM

 

Sham (2nd)

 

102

ONE LINER

 

Southwest (1st)

 

101

TAPWRIT

 

Tampa Bay Derby (1st)

 

101

CLOUD COMPUTING

 

Gotham (2nd)

 

100

EL AREEB

 

Jerome (1st)

 

100

EL AREEB

 

Withers (1st)

 

99

MCCRAKEN

 

Sam Davis (1st)

 

99

CONQUEST MO MONEY

 

Sunland Derby (2nd)

 

99

GIRVIN

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

UNCONTESTED

 

Smarty Jones (1st)

 

97

GUNNEVERA

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

97

PETROV

 

Southwest (2nd)

 

97

TAPWRIT

 

Sam Davis (2nd)

 

97

STATE OF HONOR

 

Tampa Bay Derby (2nd)

 

96

UNTRAPPED

 

Risen Star (2nd)

 

96

STATE OF HONOR

 

Sam Davis (3rd)

 

96

MALAGACY

 

Rebel (1st)

 

95

ROYAL MO

 

Robert Lewis (1st)

 

95

PRACTICAL JOKE

 

Fountain of Youth (2nd)

 

95

THREE RULES

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

95

WILD SHOT

 

Sam Davis (4th)

 

95

ILIAD

 

San Felipe (2nd)

 

94

TRUE TIMBER

 

Withers (2nd)

 

94

HEDGE FUND

 

Sunland Derby (3rd)

 

94

WILD SHOT

 

Tampa Bay Derby (3rd)

 

94

GUEST SUITE

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

93

SONNETEER

 

Rebel (2nd)

 

93

J BOYS ECHO

 

Withers (3rd)

 

93

LOCAL HERO

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

93

UNTRAPPED

 

Rebel (3rd)

 

93

GUEST SUITE

 

Risen Star (4th)

 

93

IRAP

 

Sunland Derby (4th)

 

93

NO DOZING

 

Tampa Bay Derby (4th)

 

93

PETROV

 

Rebel (4th)

 

93

CLASSIC EMPIRE

 

Holy Bull (3rd)

 

92

TERM OF ART

 

San Felipe (3rd)

 

92

IRAP

 

Robert Lewis (2nd)

 

91

PETROV

 

Smarty Jones (2nd)

 

91

UNTRAPPED

 

Lecomte (2nd)

 

91

EL AREEB

 

Gotham (3rd)

 

91

ACTION EVERYDAY

 

Gotham (4th)

 

91

GORMLEY

 

San Felipe (4th)

 

91

ZAKAROFF

 

El Camino Real Derby (1st)

 

90

SHEER FLATTERY

 

Robert Lewis (3rd)

 

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

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