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Homeracing

Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Santa Anita Derby

Profile Picture: James Scully

April 10th, 2018

Justify lived up to the hype in his first stakes attempt and left no doubt about Kentucky Derby favoritism rolling to a convincing wire-to-wire win in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). His 114 BRIS Speed rating towers above any other number in the six-year history of the Kentucky Derby points system.

Trained by four-time Kentucky Derby winner Bob Baffert, the imposing Scat Daddy colt received 100 and 105 BRIS E1 and E2 Pace ratings as well as whopping 117 Late Pace after turning back a bid from runner-up Bolt d’Oro in midstretch.

Justify, who was unraced at age 2 and didn’t make his career debut until February 18, will be spotting experience to rivals and making his first start outside of Santa Anita in the Kentucky Derby. But there’s no questioning his talent and his BRIS numbers are special, registering excellent 100 and 104 Speed figures in his first two outings before stepping up with a massive performance in the lone prep race.

Bolt d’Oro didn’t receive the right set-up with Justify as the lone speed and will try to capitalize upon expected favorable conditions on May 5. The multiple Grade 1-winning juvenile did post an encouraging 110 BRIS Speed rating, eclipsing a 105 from last fall, and his 114 Late Pace number rates as an attribute.

Core Beliefs won’t qualify after finishing third in his stakes bow. Instilled Regard disappointed backers finishing a well-beaten fourth and will need help to make the Kentucky Derby field (21st presently with 29 points).

The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.

Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (95 and better):

Horse

 

Race (finish)

 

BRIS Speed

Justify

 

Santa Anita Derby (1st)

 

114

Bolt d’Oro

 

Santa Anita Derby (2nd)

 

110

Audible

 

Florida Derby (1st)

 

107

Enticed

 

Gotham (1st)

 

104

Promises Fulfilled

 

Fountain of Youth (1st)

 

104

Hofburg

 

Florida Derby (2nd)

 

104

Vino Rosso

 

Wood Memorial (1st)

 

102

Instilled Regard

 

Santa Anita Derby (4th)

 

102

Magnum Moon

 

Rebel (1st)

 

100

Noble Indy

 

Louisiana Derby (1st)

 

100

Lone Sailor

 

Louisiana Derby (2nd)

 

100

Enticed

 

Wood Memorial (2nd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Louisiana Derby (3rd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

San Felipe (1st)

 

98

Bravazo

 

Risen Star (1st)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Blue Grass (1st)

 

98

Quip

 

Tampa Bay Derby (1st)

 

98

Snapper Sinclair

 

Risen Star (2nd)

 

98

Good Magic

 

Fountain of Youth (3rd)

 

98

Flameaway

 

Blue Grass (2nd)

 

97

Flameaway

 

Tampa Bay Derby (2nd)

 

97

Runaway Ghost

 

Sunland Derby (1st)

 

96

Solomini

 

Rebel (2nd)

 

96

Combatant

 

Rebel (3rd)

 

96

Free Drop Billy

 

Gotham (3rd)

 

96

Noble Indy

 

Risen Star (3rd)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Risen Star (4th)

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:

Horse (finish)

 

Race

 

BRIS Speed

Audible

 

Holy Bull (1st)

 

105

Bolt d’Oro

 

FrontRunner (1st)

 

105

Good Magic

 

BC Juvenile (1st)

 

105

Flameaway

 

Sam F. Davis (1st)

 

101

Solomini

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd)

 

101

Instilled Regard

 

Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd)

 

100

Solomini

 

BC Juvenile (2nd)

 

100

Vino Rosso

 

Sam F. Davis (3rd)

 

100

Free Drop Billy

 

Holy Bull (2nd)

 

99

Bolt d’Oro

 

BC Juvenile (3rd)

 

99

My Boy Jack

 

Southwest (1st)

 

98

Firenze Fire

 

Champagne (1st)

 

96

Instilled Regard

 

Lecomte (1st)

 

96

Good Magic

 

Champagne (2nd)

 

96

Solomini

 

FrontRunner (2nd)

 

96

 

 

 

 

 

 

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