Kicking off Thanksgiving week at Churchill Downs with an Awesome Thought
Churchill Downs closes its November meeting and 2015 racing this week, and I'll be sorry to see it go. Not because I'm crushing it--I haven't had a winning day yet--but because the racing has been fun to watch and handicap on a daily basis.
A good mix of favorites and longshots have combined to create big payoffs. I haven't connected, but an average win price of $14.70 with more than a third favorites winning means if you land on the right winner you can get a good piece of the Pick 4s paying an average of $1,636 for $.50. Considering at least one winning favorite on average is in each of those Pick 4s, that's not bad!
|CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE|
|Avg. Winning Odds: 6.35 - 1|
|Favorite Win%: 34%, Favorite Itm%: 71%|
|EXOTICS||$2 avg. PAYOFF|
|Pick 6 Jackpot||53,906.51|
|Super High Five||16,395.68|
Our approach to kick off closing week will be to get Feature Vanity home a winner in race 3 (leg 3 of the early Pick 4) and build something to make some caveman plays in the middle (races 4-7) and late (7-10) Pick 4s. My ABC grid for the 10-race card is below.